Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Golden Eagles @ Skyhawks TNTC @ UTM

TENNESSEE TECH

GOLDEN EAGLESTNTC

13-18  |  Road

49
FINAL
Thu, Feb 26 • 4:00 PM ET
Kathleen and Tom Elam Center
View Odds Details →

UT MARTIN

SKYHAWKSUTM

22-11  |  Home

64
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN EAGLES
55%
📊
SKYHAWKS
45%
GOLDEN EAGLES --
SKYHAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 45%
Under 0 55%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
UT MARTIN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (UT Martin)
Golden EaglesTNTC (-3.5) 0 SkyhawksUTM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Eagles Cover

13.6%

Skyhawks Cover

86.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UTM -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTM)

TNTC By 1-7 points

9.3%

TNTC By 8-14 points

2.7%

UTM By 1-7 points

21.6%

UTM By 8-14 points

27.4%

AI Model Projected Score
68
TENNESSEE TECH
79
UT MARTIN
Simulated Score
TENNESSEE TECH
UT MARTIN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Skyhawks Win
45% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Skyhawks (-7.5) Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o133.5 Loss
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 26, 2026 TNTC @ UTM 49 - 64
Dec 20, 2025 UTM @ TNTC 86 - 62
Mar 5, 2025 UTM @ TNTC 70 - 67
Feb 20, 2025 UTM @ TNTC 66 - 71
Jan 25, 2025 TNTC @ UTM 89 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +86.6% more
UT Martin: 8.9 vs Tennessee Tech: 4.8
Assists (L5) +37.2% more
UT Martin: 13.3 vs Tennessee Tech: 9.7
Turnovers (L5) +13.1% more
UT Martin: 12.3 vs Tennessee Tech: 10.8
Free Throw % (L5) +16.1%
Tennessee Tech: 82.9% vs UT Martin: 66.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TNTC Score 68.0 49
UTM Score 79.0 64
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.5 / 29.4 25.0 / 22.0
Assists 13.3 / 9.7 12.0 / 7.0
Blocks 3.3 / 3.3 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 38.3 / 44.0 41.0 / 25.0
Free Throw % 66.8 / 82.9 77.0 / 81.0
Rebounding 40.0 / 38.8 37.0 / 34.0
Steals 8.9 / 4.8 11.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 12.3 / 10.8 10.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
21%MONEY79%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
60%MONEY40%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
19%MONEY81%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TNTC
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.4
UTM Advantage
22-11-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 6.6 ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TNTC
14-14-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.4
UTM Advantage
15-14-0 (51.7%)
Margin: 6.6 ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
TNTC
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.6
UTM
9-21-0
O: 30.0% / U: 70.0% Total +/-: -8.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTM
TNTC
UTM
TNTC
ML
69% 22-10
50% 15-15
69% 20-9
65% 15-8
ATS
56% 18-14
50% 15-15
69% 20-9
65% 15-8
TTL
44% 14-18
57% 17-13
100% 29-0
100% 23-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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