Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Demon Deacons @ Eagles WAKE @ BC

WAKE FOREST

DEMON DEACONSWAKE

18-17  |  Road

67
FINAL
Wed, Feb 25 • 1:00 PM ET
Conte Forum
View Odds Details →

BOSTON COLLEGE

EAGLESBC

11-20  |  Home

68
AI Model Win Probability
DEMON DEACONS
60%
📊
EAGLES
40%
DEMON DEACONS --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 60%
Under 0 40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
BOSTON COLLEGE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Demon DeaconsWAKE (-3.5) 0 EaglesBC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Demon Deacons Cover

42.1%

Eagles Cover

57.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BC +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BC)

WAKE By 1-7 points

26.8%

WAKE By 8-14 points

18.6%

BC By 1-7 points

23.0%

BC By 8-14 points

12.2%

AI Model Projected Score
69
WAKE FOREST
67
BOSTON COLLEGE
Simulated Score
WAKE FOREST
BOSTON COLLEGE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Demon Deacons Loss
60% Win Prob
C
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Eagles (+4.5) Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u143.5 Win
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 25, 2026 WAKE @ BC 67 - 68
Dec 7, 2024 BC @ WAKE 66 - 72
Jan 2, 2024 WAKE @ BC 84 - 78
Feb 28, 2023 BC @ WAKE 71 - 69
Jan 14, 2023 WAKE @ BC 85 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +25.3% more
Wake Forest: 5.2 vs Boston College: 3.9
Free Throw % (L5) +21.1%
Wake Forest: 75.4% vs Boston College: 54.3%
Field Goal % (L5) +4.1%
Wake Forest: 45.1% vs Boston College: 41.0%
Blocks (L5) +19.8% more
Boston College: 3.8 vs Wake Forest: 3.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WAKE Score 69.0 67
BC Score 67.0 68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.1 / 31.4 25.0 / 33.0
Assists 13.6 / 12.0 12.0 / 12.0
Blocks 3.8 / 3.2 1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 41.0 / 45.1 43.0 / 35.0
Free Throw % 54.3 / 75.4 85.0 / 76.0
Rebounding 34.1 / 30.4 38.0 / 39.0
Steals 3.9 / 5.2 3.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 9.4 / 8.7 8.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WAKE Advantage
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
BC
11-20-0 (35.5%)
Margin: -3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WAKE
16-18-1 (47.1%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
BC Advantage
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: -3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
WAKE
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +1.0
BC
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3% Total +/-: -3.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BC
WAKE
BC
WAKE
ML
61% 19-12
49% 17-18
61% 17-11
61% 20-13
ATS
73% 22-8-1
66% 23-12
61% 17-11
61% 20-13
TTL
61% 19-12
60% 21-14
100% 28-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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