AI Model Win Probability
HOYAS
50%
PIRATES
50%
HOYAS
--
PIRATES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
55%
Under 0
45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
SETON HALL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around HALL +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HALL)
GTWN By 1-7 points
26.2%
GTWN By 8-14 points
16.9%
HALL By 1-7 points
24.3%
HALL By 8-14 points
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Georgetown
79
GEORGETOWN
Seton Hall
78
SETON HALL
Simulated Score
Georgetown
GEORGETOWN
Seton Hall
SETON HALL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hoyas
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Pirates (+5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
A
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o136.5
Loss
Proj Total: 157.0
C
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
GTWN @ HALL
47 - 51
Jan 10, 2026
HALL @ GTWN
76 - 67
Feb 8, 2025
HALL @ GTWN
46 - 60
Dec 22, 2024
GTWN @ HALL
61 - 60
Feb 7, 2024
GTWN @ HALL
70 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+23.4% more
Georgetown: 15.6
vs
Seton Hall: 11.9
Rebounding (L5)
+8.5% more
Georgetown: 32.7
vs
Seton Hall: 29.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.1%
Georgetown: 75.3%
vs
Seton Hall: 67.2%
Blocks (L5)
+147.0% more
Seton Hall: 6.3
vs
Georgetown: 2.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GTWN Score
79.0
47
HALL Score
78.0
51
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.1 / 34.6
0.0 / 17.0
Assists
11.9 / 15.6
9.0 / 7.0
Blocks
6.3 / 2.5
9.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
47.6 / 47.9
31.0 / 27.0
Free Throw %
67.2 / 75.3
65.0 / 57.0
Rebounding
29.9 / 32.7
44.0 / 38.0
Steals
9.1 / 5.3
10.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
12.5 / 10.4
13.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GTWN
16-18-0
(47.1%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.3
HALL
Advantage
21-12-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GTWN
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.3
HALL
Advantage
19-14-0
(57.6%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
GTWN
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5%
Total +/-: +0.4
HALL
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: -3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HALL
GTWN
HALL
GTWN
ML
41%
13-19
67%
22-11
60%
18-12
73%
22-8
ATS
50%
16-16
58%
19-14
60%
18-12
73%
22-8
TTL
53%
17-15
58%
19-14
100%
30-0
100%
30-0