ALABAMA A&M
BULLDOGSAAMU
18-15 | Road
63
FLORIDA A&M
RATTLERSFAMU
15-16 | Home
61
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
45%
RATTLERS
55%
BULLDOGS
--
RATTLERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
123.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
25%
Under 0
75%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
FLORIDA A&M
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Florida A&M)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FAMU -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FAMU)
AAMU By 1-7 points
21.6%
AAMU By 8-14 points
10.7%
FAMU By 1-7 points
27.2%
FAMU By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Alabama A&M
60
ALABAMA A&M
Florida A&M
63
FLORIDA A&M
Simulated Score
Alabama A&M
ALABAMA A&M
Florida A&M
FLORIDA A&M
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Rattlers
Loss
55% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Rattlers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
C
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u139.5
Win
Proj Total: 123.0
A
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 19, 2026
AAMU @ FAMU
63 - 61
Jan 31, 2026
FAMU @ AAMU
65 - 72
Feb 24, 2025
FAMU @ AAMU
66 - 77
Feb 1, 2025
AAMU @ FAMU
79 - 95
Feb 26, 2024
AAMU @ FAMU
58 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+57.1% more
Florida A&M: 8.3
vs
Alabama A&M: 5.3
Assists (L5)
+41.5% more
Florida A&M: 15.3
vs
Alabama A&M: 10.8
Turnovers (L5)
+35.4% more
Florida A&M: 14.5
vs
Alabama A&M: 10.7
Blocks (L5)
+10.8% more
Florida A&M: 3.7
vs
Alabama A&M: 3.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
AAMU Score
60.0
63
FAMU Score
63.0
61
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.1 / 39.0
33.0 / 42.0
Assists
15.3 / 10.8
9.0 / 7.0
Blocks
3.7 / 3.3
1.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
43.0 / 46.2
40.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
73.6 / 78.2
71.0 / 86.0
Rebounding
34.0 / 32.5
31.0 / 29.0
Steals
8.3 / 5.3
6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
14.5 / 10.7
12.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
AAMU
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: -0.5
ATS +/-: -0.1
FAMU
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: -4.2
ATS +/-: +1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
AAMU
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.5
ATS +/-: -0.1
FAMU
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -4.2
ATS +/-: +1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
AAMU
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +2.3
FAMU
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1%
Total +/-: -1.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FAMU
AAMU
FAMU
AAMU
ML
55%
16-13
55%
16-13
71%
17-7
67%
16-8
ATS
48%
14-15
55%
16-13
71%
17-7
67%
16-8
TTL
76%
22-7
66%
19-10
100%
24-0
100%
24-0
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