TULANE
GREEN WAVETULN
18-15 | Road
77
NORTH TEXAS
MEAN GREENUNT
19-14 | Home
71
AI Model Win Probability
GREEN WAVE
41%
MEAN GREEN
59%
GREEN WAVE
--
MEAN GREEN
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
65%
Under 0
35%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
TULANE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Tulane)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TULN -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TULN)
TULN By 1-7 points
21.6%
TULN By 8-14 points
27.4%
UNT By 1-7 points
9.3%
UNT By 8-14 points
2.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Tulane
74
TULANE
North Texas
63
NORTH TEXAS
Simulated Score
Tulane
TULANE
North Texas
NORTH TEXAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Green Wave
Win
41% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Green Wave (-6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
B
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u137.5
Loss
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 19, 2026
TULN @ UNT
77 - 71
Jan 18, 2026
UNT @ TULN
71 - 63
Feb 8, 2025
TULN @ UNT
66 - 76
Mar 14, 2024
TULN @ UNT
71 - 81
Feb 28, 2024
UNT @ TULN
80 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+35.4% more
Tulane: 5.5
vs
North Texas: 3.5
Assists (L5)
+16.9% more
Tulane: 12.5
vs
North Texas: 10.3
Turnovers (L5)
+15.4% more
Tulane: 11.7
vs
North Texas: 9.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+10.9%
Tulane: 30.0%
vs
North Texas: 19.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TULN Score
74.0
77
UNT Score
63.0
71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
19.1 / 30.0
33.0 / 36.0
Assists
10.3 / 12.5
12.0 / 10.0
Blocks
3.5 / 5.5
5.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
41.5 / 42.0
43.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
74.5 / 83.4
72.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
37.2 / 33.1
38.0 / 33.0
Steals
10.9 / 6.4
5.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
9.9 / 11.7
12.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TULN
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: -2.7
UNT
Advantage
19-14-0
(57.6%)
Margin: 3.5
ATS +/-: -0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TULN
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: -2.7
UNT
Advantage
17-14-0
(54.8%)
Margin: 3.5
ATS +/-: -0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
TULN
13-18-1
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: -1.2
UNT
15-16-0
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6%
Total +/-: -0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNT
TULN
UNT
TULN
ML
70%
23-10
70%
23-10
59%
19-13
47%
15-17
ATS
52%
17-16
62%
20-12-1
59%
19-13
47%
15-17
TTL
67%
22-11
55%
18-15
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
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