Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Red Raiders @ Sun Devils TTU @ ASU

TEXAS TECH

RED RAIDERSTTU

23-11  |  Road

67
FINAL
Tue, Feb 17 • 6:10 PM ET
Desert Financial Arena
View Odds Details →

ARIZONA STATE

SUN DEVILSASU

17-16  |  Home

72
AI Model Win Probability
RED RAIDERS
65%
📊
SUN DEVILS
35%
RED RAIDERS --
SUN DEVILS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
171.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 65%
Under 0 35%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
TEXAS TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Texas Tech)
Red RaidersTTU (-3.5) 0 Sun DevilsASU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Red Raiders Cover

90.3%

Sun Devils Cover

9.7%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TTU -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TTU)

TTU By 1-7 points

18.6%

TTU By 8-14 points

26.8%

ASU By 1-7 points

6.8%

ASU By 8-14 points

1.7%

AI Model Projected Score
92
TEXAS TECH
79
ARIZONA STATE
Simulated Score
TEXAS TECH
ARIZONA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Red Raiders Loss
65% Win Prob
B
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Red Raiders (+7.5) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o155.5 Loss
Proj Total: 171.0
A
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 17, 2026 TTU @ ASU 67 - 72
Mar 8, 2025 TTU @ ASU 85 - 57
Feb 12, 2025 ASU @ TTU 106 - 111
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +18.6% more
Texas Tech: 15.0 vs Arizona State: 12.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +8.8%
Texas Tech: 39.2% vs Arizona State: 30.4%
Field Goal % (L5) +2.8%
Texas Tech: 44.1% vs Arizona State: 41.3%
Blocks (L5) +23.7% more
Arizona State: 5.2 vs Texas Tech: 4.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TTU Score 92.0 67
ASU Score 79.0 72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.4 / 39.2 39.0 / 41.0
Assists 12.2 / 15.0 14.0 / 15.0
Blocks 5.2 / 4.2 5.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 41.3 / 44.1 44.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 79.2 / 70.8 76.0 / 77.0
Rebounding 35.3 / 38.1 31.0 / 36.0
Steals 7.5 / 6.5 9.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 10.1 / 10.4 9.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
97%TICKETS3%
96%MONEY4%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
86%TICKETS14%
72%MONEY28%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
34%MONEY66%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TTU Advantage
23-11-0 (67.7%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
ASU
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: -2.0 ATS +/-: +0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TTU
17-17-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
ASU Advantage
20-12-1 (62.5%)
Margin: -2.0 ATS +/-: +0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
TTU
15-19-0
O: 44.1% / U: 55.9% Total +/-: -1.6
ASU
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5% Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ASU
TTU
ASU
TTU
ML
52% 17-16
62% 21-13
68% 21-10
71% 22-9
ATS
52% 17-16
65% 22-12
68% 21-10
71% 22-9
TTL
64% 21-12
59% 20-14
100% 31-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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