Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Bulldogs COPP @ SCST

COPPIN STATE

EAGLESCOPP

7-24  |  Road

59
FINAL
Mon, Feb 16 • 11:45 AM ET
Smith-Hammond-Middleton Memorial Center
View Odds Details →

SOUTH CAROLINA STATE

BULLDOGSSCST

10-22  |  Home

57
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
40%
📊
BULLDOGS
60%
EAGLES --
BULLDOGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
170.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 70%
Under 0 30%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (South Carolina State)
EaglesCOPP (-3.5) 0 BulldogsSCST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

2.3%

Bulldogs Cover

97.7%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SCST -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SCST)

COPP By 1-7 points

1.7%

COPP By 8-14 points

0.3%

SCST By 1-7 points

8.0%

SCST By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
75
COPPIN STATE
95
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
Simulated Score
COPPIN STATE
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bulldogs Loss
60% Win Prob
C
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Bulldogs (-4.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -20.0
B
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o139.5 Loss
Proj Total: 170.0
A
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 16, 2026 COPP @ SCST 59 - 57
Jan 12, 2026 SCST @ COPP 74 - 72
Mar 12, 2025 COPP @ SCST 63 - 68
Feb 17, 2025 COPP @ SCST 57 - 87
Jan 6, 2025 SCST @ COPP 85 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +32.6% more
South Carolina State: 7.9 vs Coppin State: 6.0
Turnovers (L5) +9.8% more
South Carolina State: 14.8 vs Coppin State: 13.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.7%
South Carolina State: 32.3% vs Coppin State: 26.5%
Free Throw % (L5) +5.0%
South Carolina State: 62.1% vs Coppin State: 57.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COPP Score 75.0 59
SCST Score 95.0 57
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.3 / 26.5 22.0 / 42.0
Assists 10.7 / 12.9 14.0 / 8.0
Blocks 6.2 / 6.1 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 40.1 / 42.0 38.0 / 51.0
Free Throw % 62.1 / 57.2 69.0 / 63.0
Rebounding 29.0 / 36.2 27.0 / 27.0
Steals 7.9 / 6.0 11.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 14.8 / 13.5 11.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
9%TICKETS91%
18%MONEY82%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
29%MONEY71%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
39%MONEY61%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COPP
7-24-0 (22.6%)
Margin: -14.9 ATS +/-: -1.6
SCST Advantage
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -11.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COPP
13-17-0 (43.3%)
Margin: -14.9 ATS +/-: -1.6
SCST Advantage
13-16-1 (44.8%)
Margin: -11.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
COPP
19-11-0
O: 63.3% / U: 36.7% Total +/-: +2.1
SCST
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SCST
COPP
SCST
COPP
ML
61% 19-12
65% 20-11
74% 20-7
79% 19-5
ATS
68% 21-10
68% 21-10
74% 20-7
79% 19-5
TTL
52% 16-15
52% 16-15
100% 27-0
100% 24-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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