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COPPIN STATE

EAGLESCOPP

7-24  |  Road

58
FINAL
Sat, Feb 14 • 12:00 PM ET
McDougald-McLendon Arena
View Odds Details →

NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL

EAGLESNCCU

14-18  |  Home

56
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
35%
📊
EAGLES
65%
EAGLES --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
148.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 55%
Under 0 45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
EaglesCOPP (-3.5) 0 EaglesNCCU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

42.1%

Eagles Cover

57.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NCCU +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NCCU)

COPP By 1-7 points

26.8%

COPP By 8-14 points

18.6%

NCCU By 1-7 points

23.0%

NCCU By 8-14 points

12.2%

AI Model Projected Score
75
COPPIN STATE
73
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL
Simulated Score
COPPIN STATE
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Eagles Win
35% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Eagles (+10.5) Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o143.5 Loss
Proj Total: 148.0
C
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 14, 2026 COPP @ NCCU 58 - 56
Jan 10, 2026 NCCU @ COPP 88 - 77
Feb 15, 2025 COPP @ NCCU 59 - 71
Jan 4, 2025 NCCU @ COPP 61 - 63
Mar 2, 2024 NCCU @ COPP 83 - 58
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +28.9% more
Coppin State: 15.8 vs North Carolina Central: 11.2
Rebounding (L5) +24.4% more
Coppin State: 35.3 vs North Carolina Central: 26.7
Blocks (L5) +13.2% more
Coppin State: 4.6 vs North Carolina Central: 4.0
Assists (L5) +17.0% more
North Carolina Central: 13.8 vs Coppin State: 11.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COPP Score 75.0 58
NCCU Score 73.0 56
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.2 / 28.3 30.0 / 23.0
Assists 13.8 / 11.8 10.0 / 15.0
Blocks 4.0 / 4.6 4.0 / 9.0
Field Goal % 49.9 / 43.1 34.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 72.5 / 60.7 44.0 / 50.0
Rebounding 26.7 / 35.3 41.0 / 38.0
Steals 7.9 / 7.5 6.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 11.2 / 15.8 9.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
1%TICKETS99%
24%MONEY76%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
75%MONEY25%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
33%MONEY67%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COPP
7-24-0 (22.6%)
Margin: -14.9 ATS +/-: -1.6
NCCU Advantage
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: -3.6 ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COPP
13-17-0 (43.3%)
Margin: -14.9 ATS +/-: -1.6
NCCU Advantage
15-13-0 (53.6%)
Margin: -3.6 ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
COPP
19-11-0
O: 63.3% / U: 36.7% Total +/-: +2.1
NCCU
13-15-0
O: 46.4% / U: 53.6% Total +/-: +2.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NCCU
COPP
NCCU
COPP
ML
65% 20-11
65% 20-11
81% 22-5
79% 19-5
ATS
71% 22-9
68% 21-10
81% 22-5
79% 19-5
TTL
55% 17-14
52% 16-15
100% 27-0
100% 24-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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