MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
HAWKSUMES
9-23 | Road
53
HOWARD
BISONHOW
24-11 | Home
79
AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
10%
BISON
90%
HAWKS
--
BISON
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
95%
Under 0
5%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
HOWARD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Howard)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HOW -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOW)
UMES By 1-7 points
6.8%
UMES By 8-14 points
1.7%
HOW By 1-7 points
18.6%
HOW By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Maryland Eastern Shore
67
MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
Howard
80
HOWARD
Simulated Score
Maryland Eastern Shore
MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
Howard
HOWARD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bison
Win
90% Win Prob
A
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bison (-11.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
C
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o132.5
Loss
Proj Total: 147.0
A
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 14, 2026
UMES @ HOW
53 - 79
Jan 10, 2026
HOW @ UMES
57 - 69
Feb 17, 2025
UMES @ HOW
62 - 86
Feb 10, 2025
HOW @ UMES
77 - 57
Mar 2, 2024
HOW @ UMES
70 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+170.6% more
Howard: 4.4
vs
Maryland Eastern Shore: 1.6
Assists (L5)
+51.6% more
Howard: 17.3
vs
Maryland Eastern Shore: 11.4
Steals (L5)
+47.7% more
Howard: 7.7
vs
Maryland Eastern Shore: 5.2
Rebounding (L5)
+11.6% more
Howard: 35.9
vs
Maryland Eastern Shore: 32.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UMES Score
67.0
53
HOW Score
80.0
79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.8 / 28.0
33.0 / 33.0
Assists
17.3 / 11.4
22.0 / 7.0
Blocks
4.4 / 1.6
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
47.4 / 43.4
45.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
74.5 / 77.5
82.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
35.9 / 32.2
36.0 / 26.0
Steals
7.7 / 5.2
13.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
14.1 / 14.6
8.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UMES
9-23-0
(28.1%)
Margin: -6.4
ATS +/-: +0.2
HOW
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.6
ATS +/-: +4.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UMES
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -6.4
ATS +/-: +0.2
HOW
Advantage
22-8-1
(73.3%)
Margin: 8.6
ATS +/-: +4.9
⚖️ Over/Under
UMES
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: +0.5
HOW
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOW
UMES
HOW
UMES
ML
59%
20-14
66%
21-11
71%
22-9
81%
21-5
ATS
59%
20-14
69%
22-10
71%
22-9
81%
21-5
TTL
62%
21-13
66%
21-11
100%
31-0
100%
26-0
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