Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Wildcats @ Braves BCU @ ALCN

BETHUNE-COOKMAN

WILDCATSBCU

17-15  |  Road

55
FINAL
Sat, Feb 14 • 11:30 AM ET
Davey L. Whitney Complex
View Odds Details →

ALCORN STATE

BRAVESALCN

9-23  |  Home

57
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
50%
📊
BRAVES
50%
WILDCATS --
BRAVES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 55%
Under 0 45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
BETHUNE-COOKMAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Bethune-Cookman)
WildcatsBCU (-3.5) 0 BravesALCN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wildcats Cover

97.7%

Braves Cover

2.3%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BCU -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BCU)

BCU By 1-7 points

8.0%

BCU By 8-14 points

18.6%

ALCN By 1-7 points

1.7%

ALCN By 8-14 points

0.3%

AI Model Projected Score
83
BETHUNE-COOKMAN
63
ALCORN STATE
Simulated Score
BETHUNE-COOKMAN
ALCORN STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Wildcats Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Wildcats (+8.5) Win
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o144.5 Loss
Proj Total: 146.0
C
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 14, 2026 BCU @ ALCN 55 - 57
Jan 26, 2026 ALCN @ BCU 73 - 82
Mar 13, 2025 ALCN @ BCU 60 - 69
Feb 15, 2025 ALCN @ BCU 78 - 74
Jan 27, 2025 BCU @ ALCN 61 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +42.6% more
Bethune-Cookman: 45.1 vs Alcorn State: 25.9
Blocks (L5) +38.3% more
Bethune-Cookman: 4.6 vs Alcorn State: 2.9
Turnovers (L5) +34.3% more
Bethune-Cookman: 13.4 vs Alcorn State: 8.8
Steals (L5) +24.5% more
Alcorn State: 7.7 vs Bethune-Cookman: 6.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BCU Score 83.0 55
ALCN Score 63.0 57
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.4 / 30.5 13.0 / 33.0
Assists 12.9 / 13.2 6.0 / 13.0
Blocks 2.9 / 4.6 3.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 47.6 / 45.5 47.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 73.5 / 66.4 63.0 / 64.0
Rebounding 25.9 / 45.1 17.0 / 29.0
Steals 7.7 / 6.2 14.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 8.8 / 13.4 14.0 / 23.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
98%TICKETS2%
94%MONEY6%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
86%MONEY14%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
93%MONEY7%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BCU Advantage
17-15-0 (53.1%)
Margin: -1.6 ATS +/-: -0.6
ALCN
9-23-0 (28.1%)
Margin: -13.3 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BCU
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: -1.6 ATS +/-: -0.6
ALCN Advantage
17-14-1 (54.8%)
Margin: -13.3 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
BCU
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9% Total +/-: +2.3
ALCN
15-16-1
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6% Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ALCN
BCU
ALCN
BCU
ML
66% 21-11
68% 21-10
75% 18-6
79% 22-6
ATS
68% 21-10-1
65% 20-11
75% 18-6
79% 22-6
TTL
47% 15-17
48% 15-16
100% 24-0
100% 28-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
K-State vs Houston: Week 6 Showdown with Big 12 Title Implicatio…
si 7 hours, 26 minutes ago
Houston Cougars Set for Road Test Against Kansas State in Big 12…
si 1 day, 7 hours ago
Kentucky's AP Poll Exit Exposes Uphill Battle for National Respe…
yahoo 3 days, 1 hour ago
Arizona's Gio Richardson Exits Cincinnati Game After Brief Retur…
headtopics 4 days, 19 hours ago
Northwestern Opens Ryan Field with Record-Breaking Debut Against…
si 6 days, 2 hours ago