Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bobcats @ RedHawks OHIO @ M-OH

OHIO

BOBCATSOHIO

15-17  |  Road

74
FINAL
Fri, Feb 13 • 4:10 PM ET
Millett Hall
View Odds Details →

MIAMI (OH)

REDHAWKSM-OH

32-2  |  Home

90
AI Model Win Probability
BOBCATS
40%
📊
REDHAWKS
60%
BOBCATS --
REDHAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
155.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 35%
Under 0 65%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+5.0
MIAMI (OH)
Book Spread
--
Book Line
BobcatsOHIO (-3.5) 0 RedHawksM-OH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bobcats Cover

30.9%

RedHawks Cover

69.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around M-OH +5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (M-OH)

OHIO By 1-7 points

27.2%

OHIO By 8-14 points

23.0%

M-OH By 1-7 points

18.6%

M-OH By 8-14 points

8.0%

AI Model Projected Score
80
OHIO
75
MIAMI (OH)
Simulated Score
OHIO
MIAMI (OH)
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bobcats Loss
40% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI RedHawks (+7.5) Win
Proj Spread: +5.0
B
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u164.5 Win
Proj Total: 155.0
A
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 6, 2026 M-OH @ OHIO 110 - 108
Feb 13, 2026 OHIO @ M-OH 74 - 90
Mar 1, 2025 M-OH @ OHIO 66 - 75
Feb 1, 2025 OHIO @ M-OH 69 - 73
Mar 8, 2024 OHIO @ M-OH 72 - 59
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +32.7% more
Ohio: 4.4 vs Miami (OH): 3.0
Free Throw % (L5) +3.6%
Ohio: 73.7% vs Miami (OH): 70.1%
Steals (L5) +73.6% more
Miami (OH): 8.8 vs Ohio: 5.0
Turnovers (L5) +27.3% more
Miami (OH): 11.3 vs Ohio: 8.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
OHIO Score 80.0 74
M-OH Score 75.0 90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.2 / 32.1 50.0 / 24.0
Assists 15.7 / 16.5 16.0 / 9.0
Blocks 3.0 / 4.4 4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 53.5 / 46.8 52.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 70.1 / 73.7 75.0 / 65.0
Rebounding 35.0 / 33.5 38.0 / 29.0
Steals 8.8 / 5.0 2.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 11.3 / 8.9 9.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
25%MONEY75%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
22%TICKETS78%
15%MONEY85%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
64%MONEY36%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OHIO
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: -3.0
M-OH Advantage
32-2-0 (94.1%)
Margin: 14.1 ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OHIO
12-18-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: -3.0
M-OH Advantage
20-11-0 (64.5%)
Margin: 14.1 ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
OHIO
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.5
M-OH
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5% Total +/-: +5.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
M-OH
OHIO
M-OH
OHIO
ML
45% 15-18
65% 20-11
41% 13-19
63% 19-11
ATS
61% 20-13
68% 21-10
41% 13-19
63% 19-11
TTL
61% 20-13
61% 19-12
100% 32-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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