Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Billikens @ Ramblers SLU @ LUC

SAINT LOUIS

BILLIKENSSLU

29-6  |  Road

86
FINAL
Fri, Feb 13 • 3:40 PM ET
Gentile Arena
View Odds Details →

LOYOLA CHICAGO

RAMBLERSLUC

9-24  |  Home

59
AI Model Win Probability
BILLIKENS
70%
📊
RAMBLERS
30%
BILLIKENS --
RAMBLERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
125.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 80%
Under 0 20%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-27.0
SAINT LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +27.0 points (Saint Louis)
BillikensSLU (-3.5) 0 RamblersLUC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Billikens Cover

99.7%

Ramblers Cover

0.3%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SLU -27.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SLU)

SLU By 1-7 points

2.2%

SLU By 8-14 points

8.0%

LUC By 1-7 points

0.3%

LUC By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
76
SAINT LOUIS
49
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Simulated Score
SAINT LOUIS
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Billikens Win
70% Win Prob
A
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Billikens (+17.5) Win
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u155.5 Win
Proj Total: 125.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 4, 2026 LUC @ SLU 65 - 79
Feb 13, 2026 SLU @ LUC 86 - 59
Mar 14, 2025 SLU @ LUC 64 - 72
Mar 1, 2025 LUC @ SLU 67 - 98
Feb 14, 2025 SLU @ LUC 69 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +50.6% more
Saint Louis: 7.0 vs Loyola Chicago: 3.5
Assists (L5) +31.8% more
Saint Louis: 19.1 vs Loyola Chicago: 13.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +12.8%
Saint Louis: 46.2% vs Loyola Chicago: 33.4%
Rebounding (L5) +10.6% more
Saint Louis: 36.9 vs Loyola Chicago: 33.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SLU Score 76.0 86
LUC Score 49.0 59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.4 / 46.2 26.0 / 44.0
Assists 13.0 / 19.1 16.0 / 23.0
Blocks 3.6 / 3.0 4.0 / 7.0
Field Goal % 44.6 / 52.5 34.0 / 51.0
Free Throw % 63.0 / 66.6 50.0 / 75.0
Rebounding 33.0 / 36.9 28.0 / 44.0
Steals 3.5 / 7.0 8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 13.6 / 11.4 11.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
92%TICKETS8%
92%MONEY8%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
81%TICKETS19%
82%MONEY18%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
77%MONEY23%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SLU Advantage
29-6-0 (82.9%)
Margin: 16.8 ATS +/-: +2.4
LUC
9-24-0 (27.3%)
Margin: -9.0 ATS +/-: -4.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SLU Advantage
19-13-2 (59.4%)
Margin: 16.8 ATS +/-: +2.4
LUC
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: -9.0 ATS +/-: -4.7
⚖️ Over/Under
SLU
18-16-0
O: 52.9% / U: 47.1% Total +/-: -0.3
LUC
14-19-0
O: 42.4% / U: 57.6% Total +/-: -1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LUC
SLU
LUC
SLU
ML
55% 18-15
70% 23-10
50% 16-16
68% 21-10
ATS
64% 21-12
73% 24-9
50% 16-16
68% 21-10
TTL
76% 25-8
61% 20-13
100% 32-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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