AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
70%
EAGLES
30%
HORNETS
--
EAGLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
188.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
60%
Under 0
40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-38.0
DELAWARE STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +38.0 points (Delaware State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DSU -38.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DSU)
DSU By 1-7 points
0.1%
DSU By 8-14 points
0.8%
COPP By 1-7 points
0.0%
COPP By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Delaware State
113
DELAWARE STATE
Coppin State
75
COPPIN STATE
Simulated Score
Delaware State
DELAWARE STATE
Coppin State
COPPIN STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hornets
Loss
70% Win Prob
A
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Hornets (+1)
Loss
Proj Spread: -38.0
A
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o133.5
Loss
Proj Total: 188.0
B
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 7, 2026
DSU @ COPP
47 - 65
Jan 3, 2026
COPP @ DSU
53 - 51
Mar 1, 2025
COPP @ DSU
79 - 83
Feb 1, 2025
DSU @ COPP
84 - 61
Feb 17, 2024
DSU @ COPP
66 - 56
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.8%
Delaware State: 36.7%
vs
Coppin State: 27.9%
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.5%
Delaware State: 69.0%
vs
Coppin State: 62.6%
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.7%
Delaware State: 42.8%
vs
Coppin State: 41.1%
Blocks (L5)
+73.2% more
Coppin State: 2.9
vs
Delaware State: 1.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DSU Score
113.0
47
COPP Score
75.0
65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.9 / 36.7
29.0 / 17.0
Assists
10.8 / 11.3
14.0 / 6.0
Blocks
2.9 / 1.7
8.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
41.1 / 42.8
47.0 / 29.0
Free Throw %
62.6 / 69.0
57.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
33.0 / 29.1
40.0 / 28.0
Steals
7.2 / 6.5
8.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
15.2 / 11.7
17.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DSU
Advantage
8-23-0
(25.8%)
Margin: -9.3
ATS +/-: -3.1
COPP
7-24-0
(22.6%)
Margin: -14.9
ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DSU
9-17-0
(34.6%)
Margin: -9.3
ATS +/-: -3.1
COPP
Advantage
13-17-0
(43.3%)
Margin: -14.9
ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
DSU
7-19-0
O: 26.9% / U: 73.1%
Total +/-: -5.3
COPP
19-11-0
O: 63.3% / U: 36.7%
Total +/-: +2.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COPP
DSU
COPP
DSU
ML
65%
20-11
60%
18-12
79%
19-5
75%
18-6
ATS
68%
21-10
60%
18-12
79%
19-5
72%
18-7
TTL
52%
16-15
57%
17-13
100%
24-0
100%
25-0