TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
ISLANDERSAMCC
18-15 | Road
83
NICHOLLS
COLONELSNICH
14-19 | Home
76
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
55%
COLONELS
45%
ISLANDERS
--
COLONELS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
70%
Under 0
30%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Texas A&M-Corpus Christi)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around AMCC -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AMCC)
AMCC By 1-7 points
26.2%
AMCC By 8-14 points
25.3%
NICH By 1-7 points
15.3%
NICH By 8-14 points
5.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
78
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
Nicholls
71
NICHOLLS
Simulated Score
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
Nicholls
NICHOLLS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Islanders
Win
55% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Islanders (-1)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o137.0
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
A
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 7, 2026
AMCC @ NICH
83 - 76
Dec 29, 2025
NICH @ AMCC
76 - 71
Feb 24, 2025
AMCC @ NICH
69 - 71
Jan 25, 2025
NICH @ AMCC
57 - 61
Mar 12, 2024
NICH @ AMCC
81 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.0%
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 45.1%
vs
Nicholls: 40.1%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.9%
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 35.7%
vs
Nicholls: 30.8%
Blocks (L5)
+118.0% more
Nicholls: 4.0
vs
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 1.8
Steals (L5)
+12.4% more
Nicholls: 8.2
vs
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 7.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
AMCC Score
78.0
83
NICH Score
71.0
76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.8 / 35.7
29.0 / 46.0
Assists
10.9 / 11.2
10.0 / 17.0
Blocks
4.0 / 1.8
1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
40.1 / 45.1
50.0 / 59.0
Free Throw %
69.7 / 67.9
65.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
31.8 / 31.6
25.0 / 33.0
Steals
8.2 / 7.3
11.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
12.3 / 12.2
10.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
AMCC
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 4.8
ATS +/-: +1.7
NICH
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -2.5
ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
AMCC
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: 4.8
ATS +/-: +1.7
NICH
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -2.5
ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
AMCC
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -2.3
NICH
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NICH
AMCC
NICH
AMCC
ML
53%
17-15
70%
21-9
68%
19-9
67%
18-9
ATS
47%
15-17
67%
20-10
68%
19-9
67%
18-9
TTL
56%
18-14
60%
18-12
100%
28-0
100%
27-0
