Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Hawkeyes @ Huskies IOWA @ WASH

IOWA

HAWKEYESIOWA

24-13  |  Road

84
FINAL
Wed, Feb 4 • 6:10 PM ET
Alaska Airlines Arena
View Odds Details →

WASHINGTON

HUSKIESWASH

16-17  |  Home

74
AI Model Win Probability
HAWKEYES
60%
📊
HUSKIES
40%
HAWKEYES --
HUSKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 45%
Under 0 55%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Washington)
HawkeyesIOWA (-3.5) 0 HuskiesWASH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hawkeyes Cover

13.6%

Huskies Cover

86.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WASH -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WASH)

IOWA By 1-7 points

9.3%

IOWA By 8-14 points

2.7%

WASH By 1-7 points

21.6%

WASH By 8-14 points

27.4%

AI Model Projected Score
73
IOWA
84
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
IOWA
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Huskies Loss
40% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Huskies (+2.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o142.5 Win
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 4, 2026 IOWA @ WASH 84 - 74
Feb 22, 2025 WASH @ IOWA 79 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +118.5% more
Washington: 5.1 vs Iowa: 2.3
Rebounding (L5) +38.7% more
Washington: 38.8 vs Iowa: 28.0
Steals (L5) +30.0% more
Iowa: 8.1 vs Washington: 5.7
Field Goal % (L5) +5.6%
Iowa: 50.4% vs Washington: 44.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
IOWA Score 73.0 84
WASH Score 84.0 74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.6 / 38.6 44.0 / 47.0
Assists 14.2 / 14.8 14.0 / 10.0
Blocks 5.1 / 2.3 5.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 44.8 / 50.4 57.0 / 60.0
Free Throw % 78.2 / 82.0 82.0 / 62.0
Rebounding 38.8 / 28.0 28.0 / 19.0
Steals 5.7 / 8.1 1.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 10.4 / 9.8 12.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
85%TICKETS15%
79%MONEY21%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
80%MONEY20%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
54%MONEY46%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IOWA Advantage
24-13-0 (64.9%)
Margin: 8.3 ATS +/-: +1.1
WASH
16-17-0 (48.5%)
Margin: 3.5 ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IOWA
21-16-0 (56.8%)
Margin: 8.3 ATS +/-: +1.1
WASH Advantage
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 3.5 ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
IOWA
20-17-0
O: 54.1% / U: 46.0% Total +/-: +0.6
WASH
15-17-1
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WASH
IOWA
WASH
IOWA
ML
45% 15-18
59% 22-15
66% 21-11
78% 28-8
ATS
48% 16-17
76% 28-9
66% 21-11
78% 28-8
TTL
70% 23-10
57% 21-16
100% 32-0
100% 36-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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