Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Hawks @ Bulldogs UMES @ SCST

MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE

HAWKSUMES

9-23  |  Road

54
FINAL
Wed, Feb 4 • 3:00 PM ET
Smith-Hammond-Middleton Memorial Center
View Odds Details →

SOUTH CAROLINA STATE

BULLDOGSSCST

10-22  |  Home

63
AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
40%
📊
BULLDOGS
60%
HAWKS --
BULLDOGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 55%
Under 0 45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (South Carolina State)
HawksUMES (-3.5) 0 BulldogsSCST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hawks Cover

9.7%

Bulldogs Cover

90.3%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SCST -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SCST)

UMES By 1-7 points

6.8%

UMES By 8-14 points

1.7%

SCST By 1-7 points

18.6%

SCST By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
63
MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
76
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
Simulated Score
MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bulldogs Win
60% Win Prob
C
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Bulldogs (+18.5) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
A
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u140.5 Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 28, 2026 SCST @ UMES 57 - 69
Feb 4, 2026 UMES @ SCST 54 - 63
Feb 24, 2025 SCST @ UMES 81 - 68
Jan 13, 2025 UMES @ SCST 64 - 78
Feb 26, 2024 UMES @ SCST 56 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +289.4% more
South Carolina State: 5.5 vs Maryland Eastern Shore: 1.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.9%
South Carolina State: 35.8% vs Maryland Eastern Shore: 32.9%
Free Throw % (L5) +13.9%
Maryland Eastern Shore: 79.0% vs South Carolina State: 65.0%
Field Goal % (L5) +2.8%
Maryland Eastern Shore: 46.7% vs South Carolina State: 43.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UMES Score 63.0 54
SCST Score 76.0 63
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.8 / 32.9 33.0 / 33.0
Assists 12.7 / 11.9 11.0 / 11.0
Blocks 5.5 / 1.4 5.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 43.9 / 46.7 43.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 65.0 / 79.0 70.0 / 62.0
Rebounding 31.8 / 30.2 22.0 / 26.0
Steals 6.6 / 6.4 12.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 14.6 / 15.6 12.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UMES
9-23-0 (28.1%)
Margin: -6.4 ATS +/-: +0.2
SCST Advantage
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -11.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UMES Advantage
15-15-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -6.4 ATS +/-: +0.2
SCST
13-16-1 (44.8%)
Margin: -11.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
UMES
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +0.5
SCST
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SCST
UMES
SCST
UMES
ML
61% 19-12
66% 21-11
74% 20-7
81% 21-5
ATS
68% 21-10
69% 22-10
74% 20-7
81% 21-5
TTL
52% 16-15
66% 21-11
100% 27-0
100% 26-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Kansas Shakes Up Offensive Line: Amir Herring Promoted to Starti…
si 2 days, 5 hours ago
Melvin Council Jr. Wins Eligibility Appeal, Returns to Kansas fo…
kwch 4 days ago
Kansas Jayhawks Set Program Record with 706 Yards, Blank Middle …
si 5 days ago
Nick Saban Declares Georgia the Most Complete Team in College Fo…
si 5 days, 12 hours ago
Kansas Jayhawks Lose RB Yasin Willis Indefinitely, Backfield Dep…
si 1 week, 2 days ago