Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Cardinals @ Islanders UIW @ AMCC

INCARNATE WORD

CARDINALSUIW

12-19  |  Road

71
FINAL
Mon, Feb 2 • 4:00 PM ET
American Bank Center
View Odds Details →

TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI

ISLANDERSAMCC

18-15  |  Home

69
AI Model Win Probability
CARDINALS
40%
📊
ISLANDERS
60%
CARDINALS --
ISLANDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
132.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 56%
Under 0 44%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Texas A&M-Corpus Christi)
CardinalsUIW (-3.5) 0 IslandersAMCC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cardinals Cover

3.6%

Islanders Cover

96.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around AMCC -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AMCC)

UIW By 1-7 points

2.7%

UIW By 8-14 points

0.5%

AMCC By 1-7 points

10.7%

AMCC By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
57
INCARNATE WORD
75
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
Simulated Score
INCARNATE WORD
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Islanders Loss
60% Win Prob
C
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Islanders (-5) Loss
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u138.0 Loss
Proj Total: 132.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 2, 2026 UIW @ AMCC 71 - 69
Jan 24, 2026 AMCC @ UIW 79 - 71
Feb 15, 2025 UIW @ AMCC 55 - 69
Jan 18, 2025 AMCC @ UIW 69 - 63
Mar 6, 2024 UIW @ AMCC 52 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +65.2% more
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 7.4 vs Incarnate Word: 4.5
Blocks (L5) +60.1% more
Incarnate Word: 4.4 vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 1.7
Turnovers (L5) +11.9% more
Incarnate Word: 14.5 vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 12.8
Free Throw % (L5) +5.5%
Incarnate Word: 70.4% vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 64.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UIW Score 57.0 71
AMCC Score 75.0 69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.5 / 37.5 38.0 / 40.0
Assists 10.7 / 11.1 12.0 / 8.0
Blocks 1.7 / 4.4 2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 45.2 / 46.7 45.0 / 50.0
Free Throw % 64.8 / 70.4 74.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 31.9 / 31.9 31.0 / 31.0
Steals 7.4 / 4.5 7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 12.8 / 14.5 11.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UIW
12-19-0 (38.7%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.0
AMCC Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 4.8 ATS +/-: +1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UIW
10-18-0 (35.7%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.0
AMCC Advantage
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: 4.8 ATS +/-: +1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
UIW
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.4
AMCC
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: -2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AMCC
UIW
AMCC
UIW
ML
70% 21-9
47% 14-16
67% 18-9
76% 22-7
ATS
67% 20-10
53% 16-14
67% 18-9
77% 23-7
TTL
60% 18-12
60% 18-12
100% 27-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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