Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Cowboys @ Utes OKST @ UTAH

OKLAHOMA STATE

COWBOYSOKST

20-15  |  Road

81
FINAL
Sat, Jan 31 • 1:05 PM ET
Jon M. Huntsman Center
View Odds Details →

UTAH

UTESUTAH

10-22  |  Home

69
AI Model Win Probability
COWBOYS
60%
📊
UTES
40%
COWBOYS --
UTES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
165.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Utah)
CowboysOKST (-3.5) 0 UtesUTAH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cowboys Cover

4.5%

Utes Cover

95.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UTAH -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTAH)

OKST By 1-7 points

3.3%

OKST By 8-14 points

0.6%

UTAH By 1-7 points

12.2%

UTAH By 8-14 points

23.0%

AI Model Projected Score
74
OKLAHOMA STATE
91
UTAH
Simulated Score
OKLAHOMA STATE
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Utes Loss
40% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Utes (-1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u167.5 Win
Proj Total: 165.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 31, 2026 OKST @ UTAH 81 - 69
Feb 1, 2025 UTAH @ OKST 72 - 81
Jan 11, 2025 OKST @ UTAH 62 - 83
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +9.3%
Utah: 44.8% vs Oklahoma State: 35.5%
Free Throw % (L5) +7.4%
Utah: 77.8% vs Oklahoma State: 70.4%
Field Goal % (L5) +4.4%
Utah: 46.9% vs Oklahoma State: 42.5%
Steals (L5) +52.7% more
Oklahoma State: 10.1 vs Utah: 4.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
OKST Score 74.0 81
UTAH Score 91.0 69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 44.8 / 35.5 25.0 / 42.0
Assists 14.0 / 13.7 11.0 / 16.0
Blocks 2.3 / 2.4 6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 46.9 / 42.5 41.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 77.8 / 70.4 67.0 / 69.0
Rebounding 30.8 / 32.0 34.0 / 43.0
Steals 4.8 / 10.1 5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 9.1 / 12.4 8.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
36%MONEY64%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
46%MONEY54%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
53%MONEY47%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OKST Advantage
20-15-0 (57.1%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
UTAH
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -4.8 ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OKST
16-19-0 (45.7%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
UTAH Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -4.8 ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
OKST
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +2.9
UTAH
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8% Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
OKST
UTAH
OKST
ML
56% 18-14
60% 21-14
67% 20-10
66% 21-11
ATS
56% 18-14
57% 20-15
67% 20-10
66% 21-11
TTL
41% 13-19
57% 20-15
100% 30-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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