FLORIDA A&M
RATTLERSFAMU
15-16 | Road
65
ALABAMA A&M
BULLDOGSAAMU
18-15 | Home
72
AI Model Win Probability
RATTLERS
55%
BULLDOGS
45%
RATTLERS
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
123.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
35%
Under 0
65%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
ALABAMA A&M
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around AAMU +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AAMU)
FAMU By 1-7 points
27.2%
FAMU By 8-14 points
20.1%
AAMU By 1-7 points
21.6%
AAMU By 8-14 points
10.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Florida A&M
63
FLORIDA A&M
Alabama A&M
60
ALABAMA A&M
Simulated Score
Florida A&M
FLORIDA A&M
Alabama A&M
ALABAMA A&M
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Rattlers
Loss
55% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bulldogs (+4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
C
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u138.5
Win
Proj Total: 123.0
A
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 19, 2026
AAMU @ FAMU
63 - 61
Jan 31, 2026
FAMU @ AAMU
65 - 72
Feb 24, 2025
FAMU @ AAMU
66 - 77
Feb 1, 2025
AAMU @ FAMU
79 - 95
Feb 26, 2024
AAMU @ FAMU
58 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+16.9% more
Florida A&M: 14.6
vs
Alabama A&M: 12.2
Assists (L5)
+9.0% more
Florida A&M: 14.1
vs
Alabama A&M: 12.8
Blocks (L5)
+17.8% more
Alabama A&M: 3.8
vs
Florida A&M: 3.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+14.2%
Alabama A&M: 78.9%
vs
Florida A&M: 64.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FAMU Score
63.0
65
AAMU Score
60.0
72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.1 / 32.0
41.0 / 44.0
Assists
12.8 / 14.1
10.0 / 9.0
Blocks
3.8 / 3.3
5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
48.9 / 45.6
40.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
78.9 / 64.7
91.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
33.8 / 34.0
31.0 / 35.0
Steals
6.8 / 7.2
5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
12.2 / 14.6
10.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FAMU
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: -4.2
ATS +/-: +1.0
AAMU
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: -0.5
ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FAMU
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -4.2
ATS +/-: +1.0
AAMU
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.5
ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
FAMU
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1%
Total +/-: -1.7
AAMU
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AAMU
FAMU
AAMU
FAMU
ML
55%
16-13
55%
16-13
67%
16-8
71%
17-7
ATS
55%
16-13
48%
14-15
67%
16-8
71%
17-7
TTL
66%
19-10
76%
22-7
100%
24-0
100%
24-0
Contextual Game News
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