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MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE

HAWKSUMES

9-23  |  Road

57
FINAL
Sat, Jan 31 • 11:56 AM ET
Memorial Hall (DE)
View Odds Details →

DELAWARE STATE

HORNETSDSU

8-23  |  Home

65
AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
30%
📊
HORNETS
70%
HAWKS --
HORNETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
126.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 70%
Under 0 30%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-24.0
MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +24.0 points (Maryland Eastern Shore)
HawksUMES (-3.5) 0 HornetsDSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hawks Cover

99.2%

Hornets Cover

0.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UMES -24.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UMES)

UMES By 1-7 points

4.0%

UMES By 8-14 points

12.2%

DSU By 1-7 points

0.6%

DSU By 8-14 points

0.1%

AI Model Projected Score
75
MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
51
DELAWARE STATE
Simulated Score
MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
DELAWARE STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Hawks Loss
30% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Hawks (+2) Loss
Proj Spread: -24.0
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u128.5 Win
Proj Total: 126.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 5, 2026 DSU @ UMES 57 - 56
Jan 31, 2026 UMES @ DSU 57 - 65
Mar 6, 2025 UMES @ DSU 68 - 75
Jan 25, 2025 DSU @ UMES 73 - 66
Mar 7, 2024 DSU @ UMES 59 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +24.2% more
Maryland Eastern Shore: 13.8 vs Delaware State: 10.5
Steals (L5) +18.8% more
Maryland Eastern Shore: 7.7 vs Delaware State: 6.2
Free Throw % (L5) +7.9%
Maryland Eastern Shore: 80.9% vs Delaware State: 73.1%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +6.1%
Maryland Eastern Shore: 32.1% vs Delaware State: 26.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UMES Score 75.0 57
DSU Score 51.0 65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 26.0 / 32.1 58.0 / 0.0
Assists 10.5 / 13.8 13.0 / 11.0
Blocks 2.0 / 1.9 1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 39.7 / 44.4 49.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 73.1 / 80.9 61.0 / 93.0
Rebounding 31.2 / 28.9 25.0 / 27.0
Steals 6.2 / 7.7 7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 13.1 / 12.6 9.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UMES Advantage
9-23-0 (28.1%)
Margin: -6.4 ATS +/-: +0.2
DSU
8-23-0 (25.8%)
Margin: -9.3 ATS +/-: -3.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UMES Advantage
15-15-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -6.4 ATS +/-: +0.2
DSU
9-17-0 (34.6%)
Margin: -9.3 ATS +/-: -3.1
⚖️ Over/Under
UMES
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +0.5
DSU
7-19-0
O: 26.9% / U: 73.1% Total +/-: -5.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DSU
UMES
DSU
UMES
ML
60% 18-12
66% 21-11
75% 18-6
81% 21-5
ATS
60% 18-12
69% 22-10
72% 18-7
81% 21-5
TTL
57% 17-13
66% 21-11
100% 25-0
100% 26-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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