Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Wildcats @ Delta Devils BCU @ MVSU

BETHUNE-COOKMAN

WILDCATSBCU

17-15  |  Road

79
FINAL
Sat, Jan 17 • 1:30 PM ET
R.W. Harrison HPER Complex
View Odds Details →

MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE

DELTA DEVILSMVSU

3-30  |  Home

63
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
60%
📊
DELTA DEVILS
40%
WILDCATS --
DELTA DEVILS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
188.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 55%
Under 0 45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+6.0
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
WildcatsBCU (-3.5) 0 Delta DevilsMVSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wildcats Cover

27.4%

Delta Devils Cover

72.6%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MVSU +6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MVSU)

BCU By 1-7 points

26.8%

BCU By 8-14 points

24.3%

MVSU By 1-7 points

16.9%

MVSU By 8-14 points

6.8%

AI Model Projected Score
97
BETHUNE-COOKMAN
91
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
Simulated Score
BETHUNE-COOKMAN
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Wildcats Win
60% Win Prob
C
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Delta Devils (+15.5) Loss
Proj Spread: +6.0
C
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o144.5 Loss
Proj Total: 188.0
C
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 17, 2026 BCU @ MVSU 79 - 63
Jan 18, 2025 MVSU @ BCU 58 - 83
Jan 20, 2024 BCU @ MVSU 80 - 64
Jan 14, 2023 MVSU @ BCU 71 - 77
Jan 15, 2022 BCU @ MVSU 62 - 60
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +59.1% more
Bethune-Cookman: 5.0 vs Mississippi Valley State: 2.1
Assists (L5) +16.9% more
Bethune-Cookman: 13.3 vs Mississippi Valley State: 11.1
Free Throw % (L5) +14.6%
Bethune-Cookman: 74.7% vs Mississippi Valley State: 60.1%
Field Goal % (L5) +5.3%
Bethune-Cookman: 45.7% vs Mississippi Valley State: 40.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BCU Score 97.0 79
MVSU Score 91.0 63
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.7 / 32.3 32.0 / 55.0
Assists 11.1 / 13.3 12.0 / 21.0
Blocks 2.1 / 5.0 1.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 40.4 / 45.7 37.0 / 58.0
Free Throw % 60.1 / 74.7 61.0 / 63.0
Rebounding 31.9 / 33.9 17.0 / 33.0
Steals 7.0 / 6.2 10.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 17.1 / 15.6 6.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
97%TICKETS3%
91%MONEY9%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
88%MONEY12%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
5%MONEY95%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BCU Advantage
17-15-0 (53.1%)
Margin: -1.6 ATS +/-: -0.6
MVSU
3-30-0 (9.1%)
Margin: -18.8 ATS +/-: +0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BCU
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: -1.6 ATS +/-: -0.6
MVSU Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -18.8 ATS +/-: +0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
BCU
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9% Total +/-: +2.3
MVSU
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MVSU
BCU
MVSU
BCU
ML
91% 30-3
68% 21-10
75% 18-6
79% 22-6
ATS
82% 27-6
65% 20-11
75% 18-6
79% 22-6
TTL
58% 19-14
48% 15-16
100% 24-0
100% 28-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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