Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Screaming Eagles @ Golden Eagles USI @ TNTC

SOUTHERN INDIANA

SCREAMING EAGLESUSI

7-23  |  Road

71
FINAL
Thu, Jan 15 • 4:00 PM ET
Hooper Eblen Center
View Odds Details →

TENNESSEE TECH

GOLDEN EAGLESTNTC

13-18  |  Home

54
AI Model Win Probability
SCREAMING EAGLES
30%
📊
GOLDEN EAGLES
70%
SCREAMING EAGLES --
GOLDEN EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
102.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 70%
Under 0 30%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
SOUTHERN INDIANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Southern Indiana)
Screaming EaglesUSI (-3.5) 0 Golden EaglesTNTC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Screaming Eagles Cover

97.7%

Golden Eagles Cover

2.3%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around USI -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (USI)

USI By 1-7 points

8.0%

USI By 8-14 points

18.6%

TNTC By 1-7 points

1.7%

TNTC By 8-14 points

0.3%

AI Model Projected Score
61
SOUTHERN INDIANA
41
TENNESSEE TECH
Simulated Score
SOUTHERN INDIANA
TENNESSEE TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Screaming Eagles Win
30% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Screaming Eagles (-5.5) Win
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u142.5 Win
Proj Total: 102.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 14, 2026 TNTC @ USI 82 - 74
Jan 15, 2026 USI @ TNTC 71 - 54
Feb 1, 2025 TNTC @ USI 78 - 65
Jan 2, 2025 USI @ TNTC 64 - 68
Feb 1, 2024 USI @ TNTC 74 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +32.8% more
Southern Indiana: 4.1 vs Tennessee Tech: 2.8
Steals (L5) +25.6% more
Southern Indiana: 7.1 vs Tennessee Tech: 5.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +1.6%
Southern Indiana: 30.7% vs Tennessee Tech: 29.1%
Assists (L5) +17.4% more
Tennessee Tech: 9.4 vs Southern Indiana: 8.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
USI Score 61.0 71
TNTC Score 41.0 54
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.1 / 30.7 15.0 / 32.0
Assists 9.4 / 8.0 7.0 / 13.0
Blocks 2.8 / 4.1 6.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 41.2 / 36.8 35.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 70.8 / 70.0 60.0 / 47.0
Rebounding 33.6 / 32.6 47.0 / 44.0
Steals 5.3 / 7.1 1.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 13.6 / 13.2 13.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
17%MONEY83%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
26%TICKETS74%
27%MONEY73%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
72%MONEY28%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
USI
7-23-0 (23.3%)
Margin: -5.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
TNTC Advantage
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
USI
11-16-1 (40.7%)
Margin: -5.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
TNTC Advantage
14-14-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
USI
11-17-0
O: 39.3% / U: 60.7% Total +/-: -3.3
TNTC
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TNTC
USI
TNTC
USI
ML
50% 15-15
67% 20-10
65% 15-8
61% 17-11
ATS
50% 15-15
70% 21-9
65% 15-8
61% 17-11
TTL
57% 17-13
73% 22-8
100% 23-0
100% 28-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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