SOUTHERN
JAGUARSSOU
17-17 | Road
59
FLORIDA A&M
RATTLERSFAMU
15-16 | Home
67
AI Model Win Probability
JAGUARS
35%
RATTLERS
65%
JAGUARS
--
RATTLERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
SOUTHERN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Southern)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SOU -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SOU)
SOU By 1-7 points
13.7%
SOU By 8-14 points
24.3%
FAMU By 1-7 points
4.0%
FAMU By 8-14 points
0.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Southern
76
SOUTHERN
Florida A&M
60
FLORIDA A&M
Simulated Score
Southern
SOUTHERN
Florida A&M
FLORIDA A&M
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Jaguars
Loss
35% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Jaguars (-14.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
B
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u147.5
Win
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 13, 2026
SOU @ FAMU
73 - 70
Feb 26, 2026
FAMU @ SOU
82 - 71
Jan 10, 2026
SOU @ FAMU
59 - 67
Mar 3, 2025
SOU @ FAMU
73 - 70
Jan 11, 2025
FAMU @ SOU
57 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+13.0% more
Southern: 34.0
vs
Florida A&M: 29.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+10.6%
Southern: 71.0%
vs
Florida A&M: 60.4%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.4%
Southern: 37.0%
vs
Florida A&M: 32.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SOU Score
76.0
59
FAMU Score
60.0
67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.6 / 37.0
26.0 / 15.0
Assists
12.8 / 13.2
13.0 / 6.0
Blocks
3.0 / 3.2
5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
42.4 / 43.2
42.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
60.4 / 71.0
85.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
29.6 / 34.0
39.0 / 32.0
Steals
7.5 / 8.0
6.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
12.7 / 12.0
18.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SOU
Advantage
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.7
ATS +/-: -1.6
FAMU
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: -4.2
ATS +/-: +1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SOU
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: 1.7
ATS +/-: -1.6
FAMU
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -4.2
ATS +/-: +1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
SOU
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5%
Total +/-: +4.7
FAMU
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1%
Total +/-: -1.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FAMU
SOU
FAMU
SOU
ML
55%
16-13
67%
22-11
71%
17-7
70%
21-9
ATS
48%
14-15
64%
21-12
71%
17-7
70%
21-9
TTL
76%
22-7
42%
14-19
100%
24-0
100%
30-0
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