Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Pirates @ Hoyas HALL @ GTWN

SETON HALL

PIRATESHALL

21-12  |  Road

76
FINAL
Sat, Jan 10 • 1:15 PM ET
Capital One Arena
View Odds Details →

GEORGETOWN

HOYASGTWN

16-18  |  Home

67
AI Model Win Probability
PIRATES
65%
📊
HOYAS
35%
PIRATES --
HOYAS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
160.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 90%
Under 0 10%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
SETON HALL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Seton Hall)
PiratesHALL (-3.5) 0 HoyasGTWN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pirates Cover

78.8%

Hoyas Cover

21.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around HALL -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HALL)

HALL By 1-7 points

25.3%

HALL By 8-14 points

26.2%

GTWN By 1-7 points

13.7%

GTWN By 8-14 points

4.8%

AI Model Projected Score
84
SETON HALL
76
GEORGETOWN
Simulated Score
SETON HALL
GEORGETOWN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Pirates Win
65% Win Prob
C
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Pirates (+1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
C
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o137.5 Win
Proj Total: 160.0
A
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 21, 2026 GTWN @ HALL 47 - 51
Jan 10, 2026 HALL @ GTWN 76 - 67
Feb 8, 2025 HALL @ GTWN 46 - 60
Dec 22, 2024 GTWN @ HALL 61 - 60
Feb 7, 2024 GTWN @ HALL 70 - 76
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.6%
Seton Hall: 30.7% vs Georgetown: 27.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HALL Score 84.0 76
GTWN Score 76.0 67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 27.2 / 30.7 35.0 / 29.0
Assists 12.5 / 13.0 8.0 / 9.0
Blocks 4.7 / 4.9 1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 38.9 / 39.7 34.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 75.7 / 76.5 86.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 37.6 / 38.4 38.0 / 41.0
Steals 7.9 / 8.3 8.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 10.9 / 10.6 12.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
69%MONEY31%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
56%MONEY44%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
29%MONEY71%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HALL Advantage
21-12-0 (63.6%)
Margin: 5.0 ATS +/-: +1.6
GTWN
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HALL Advantage
19-14-0 (57.6%)
Margin: 5.0 ATS +/-: +1.6
GTWN
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
HALL
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6% Total +/-: -3.3
GTWN
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5% Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GTWN
HALL
GTWN
HALL
ML
67% 22-11
41% 13-19
73% 22-8
60% 18-12
ATS
58% 19-14
50% 16-16
73% 22-8
60% 18-12
TTL
58% 19-14
53% 17-15
100% 30-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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