ALCORN STATE
BRAVESALCN
9-23 | Road
64
ALABAMA A&M
BULLDOGSAAMU
18-15 | Home
62
AI Model Win Probability
BRAVES
35%
BULLDOGS
65%
BRAVES
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
193.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
35%
Under 0
65%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-41.0
ALABAMA A&M
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +41.0 points (Alabama A&M)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around AAMU -41.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AAMU)
ALCN By 1-7 points
0.0%
ALCN By 8-14 points
0.0%
AAMU By 1-7 points
0.0%
AAMU By 8-14 points
0.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Alcorn State
76
ALCORN STATE
Alabama A&M
117
ALABAMA A&M
Simulated Score
Alcorn State
ALCORN STATE
Alabama A&M
ALABAMA A&M
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bulldogs
Loss
65% Win Prob
C
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bulldogs (-7.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -41.0
C
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o153.5
Loss
Proj Total: 193.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 10, 2026
ALCN @ AAMU
64 - 62
Jan 11, 2025
AAMU @ ALCN
52 - 62
Mar 13, 2024
AAMU @ ALCN
75 - 63
Jan 11, 2024
ALCN @ AAMU
74 - 71
Jan 7, 2023
AAMU @ ALCN
76 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+25.6% more
Alabama A&M: 38.0
vs
Alcorn State: 30.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+11.3%
Alabama A&M: 77.6%
vs
Alcorn State: 66.3%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.7%
Alabama A&M: 43.6%
vs
Alcorn State: 38.9%
Blocks (L5)
+20.8% more
Alcorn State: 2.9
vs
Alabama A&M: 2.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ALCN Score
76.0
64
AAMU Score
117.0
62
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.6 / 38.8
21.0 / 33.0
Assists
12.6 / 12.4
12.0 / 11.0
Blocks
2.3 / 2.9
5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
43.6 / 38.9
43.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
77.6 / 66.3
53.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
38.0 / 30.2
37.0 / 34.0
Steals
7.0 / 7.7
4.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
12.5 / 13.7
12.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ALCN
9-23-0
(28.1%)
Margin: -13.3
ATS +/-: -0.8
AAMU
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: -0.5
ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ALCN
Advantage
17-14-1
(54.8%)
Margin: -13.3
ATS +/-: -0.8
AAMU
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.5
ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
ALCN
15-16-1
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6%
Total +/-: -0.5
AAMU
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AAMU
ALCN
AAMU
ALCN
ML
55%
16-13
66%
21-11
67%
16-8
75%
18-6
ATS
55%
16-13
68%
21-10-1
67%
16-8
75%
18-6
TTL
66%
19-10
47%
15-17
100%
24-0
100%
24-0
Contextual Game News
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