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NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL

EAGLESNCCU

14-18  |  Road

88
FINAL
Sat, Jan 10 • 12:00 PM ET
Physical Education Complex
View Odds Details →

COPPIN STATE

EAGLESCOPP

7-24  |  Home

77
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
65%
📊
EAGLES
35%
EAGLES --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
148.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 72%
Under 0 28%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
COPPIN STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Coppin State)
EaglesNCCU (-3.5) 0 EaglesCOPP (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

42.1%

Eagles Cover

57.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around COPP -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COPP)

NCCU By 1-7 points

23.0%

NCCU By 8-14 points

12.2%

COPP By 1-7 points

26.8%

COPP By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
73
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL
75
COPPIN STATE
Simulated Score
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL
COPPIN STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Eagles Loss
35% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Eagles (+6.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o142.5 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
B
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 14, 2026 COPP @ NCCU 58 - 56
Jan 10, 2026 NCCU @ COPP 88 - 77
Feb 15, 2025 COPP @ NCCU 59 - 71
Jan 4, 2025 NCCU @ COPP 61 - 63
Mar 2, 2024 NCCU @ COPP 83 - 58
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +19.4% more
Coppin State: 4.2 vs North Carolina Central: 3.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +10.0%
Coppin State: 32.7% vs North Carolina Central: 22.7%
Steals (L5) +31.9% more
North Carolina Central: 8.8 vs Coppin State: 6.0
Assists (L5) +25.9% more
North Carolina Central: 15.0 vs Coppin State: 11.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NCCU Score 73.0 88
COPP Score 75.0 77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.7 / 22.7 57.0 / 60.0
Assists 11.1 / 15.0 17.0 / 17.0
Blocks 4.2 / 3.5 1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 39.6 / 45.3 52.0 / 50.0
Free Throw % 57.7 / 67.7 75.0 / 78.0
Rebounding 31.0 / 36.3 27.0 / 28.0
Steals 6.0 / 8.8 4.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 16.2 / 15.1 13.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
94%TICKETS6%
72%MONEY28%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
72%MONEY28%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
75%MONEY25%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NCCU Advantage
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: -3.6 ATS +/-: -1.9
COPP
7-24-0 (22.6%)
Margin: -14.9 ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NCCU Advantage
15-13-0 (53.6%)
Margin: -3.6 ATS +/-: -1.9
COPP
13-17-0 (43.3%)
Margin: -14.9 ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
NCCU
13-15-0
O: 46.4% / U: 53.6% Total +/-: +2.1
COPP
19-11-0
O: 63.3% / U: 36.7% Total +/-: +2.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COPP
NCCU
COPP
NCCU
ML
65% 20-11
65% 20-11
79% 19-5
81% 22-5
ATS
68% 21-10
71% 22-9
79% 19-5
81% 22-5
TTL
52% 16-15
55% 17-14
100% 24-0
100% 27-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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