AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
30%
HORNETS
70%
EAGLES
--
HORNETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
188.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
60%
Under 0
40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-38.0
DELAWARE STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +38.0 points (Delaware State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DSU -38.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DSU)
COPP By 1-7 points
0.0%
COPP By 8-14 points
0.0%
DSU By 1-7 points
0.1%
DSU By 8-14 points
0.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Coppin State
75
COPPIN STATE
Delaware State
113
DELAWARE STATE
Simulated Score
Coppin State
COPPIN STATE
Delaware State
DELAWARE STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hornets
Loss
70% Win Prob
B
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Hornets (-9.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -38.0
C
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o139.5
Loss
Proj Total: 188.0
C
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 7, 2026
DSU @ COPP
47 - 65
Jan 3, 2026
COPP @ DSU
53 - 51
Mar 1, 2025
COPP @ DSU
79 - 83
Feb 1, 2025
DSU @ COPP
84 - 61
Feb 17, 2024
DSU @ COPP
66 - 56
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+66.5% more
Delaware State: 9.1
vs
Coppin State: 5.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.6%
Delaware State: 39.1%
vs
Coppin State: 31.5%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.0%
Delaware State: 42.0%
vs
Coppin State: 39.0%
Blocks (L5)
+44.1% more
Coppin State: 4.8
vs
Delaware State: 2.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COPP Score
75.0
53
DSU Score
113.0
51
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.1 / 31.5
31.0 / 35.0
Assists
11.0 / 11.7
11.0 / 10.0
Blocks
2.7 / 4.8
1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
42.0 / 39.0
37.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
67.2 / 66.6
38.0 / 40.0
Rebounding
29.3 / 29.0
36.0 / 35.0
Steals
9.1 / 5.5
11.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
14.2 / 14.8
15.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COPP
7-24-0
(22.6%)
Margin: -14.9
ATS +/-: -1.6
DSU
Advantage
8-23-0
(25.8%)
Margin: -9.3
ATS +/-: -3.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COPP
Advantage
13-17-0
(43.3%)
Margin: -14.9
ATS +/-: -1.6
DSU
9-17-0
(34.6%)
Margin: -9.3
ATS +/-: -3.1
⚖️ Over/Under
COPP
19-11-0
O: 63.3% / U: 36.7%
Total +/-: +2.1
DSU
7-19-0
O: 26.9% / U: 73.1%
Total +/-: -5.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DSU
COPP
DSU
COPP
ML
60%
18-12
65%
20-11
75%
18-6
79%
19-5
ATS
60%
18-12
68%
21-10
72%
18-7
79%
19-5
TTL
57%
17-13
52%
16-15
100%
25-0
100%
24-0