Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bison @ Bulldogs HOW @ SCST

HOWARD

BISONHOW

24-11  |  Road

57
FINAL
Sat, Jan 3 • 11:30 AM ET
Smith-Hammond-Middleton Memorial Center
View Odds Details →

SOUTH CAROLINA STATE

BULLDOGSSCST

10-22  |  Home

58
AI Model Win Probability
BISON
80%
📊
BULLDOGS
20%
BISON --
BULLDOGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
177.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (South Carolina State)
BisonHOW (-3.5) 0 BulldogsSCST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bison Cover

4.5%

Bulldogs Cover

95.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SCST -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SCST)

HOW By 1-7 points

3.3%

HOW By 8-14 points

0.6%

SCST By 1-7 points

12.2%

SCST By 8-14 points

23.0%

AI Model Projected Score
80
HOWARD
97
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
Simulated Score
HOWARD
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bulldogs Win
20% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Bulldogs (+8.5) Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o145.5 Loss
Proj Total: 177.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 13, 2026 SCST @ HOW 61 - 78
Feb 7, 2026 SCST @ HOW 57 - 85
Jan 3, 2026 HOW @ SCST 57 - 58
Mar 3, 2025 HOW @ SCST 69 - 79
Feb 3, 2025 SCST @ HOW 89 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +47.8% more
Howard: 3.7 vs South Carolina State: 1.9
Rebounding (L5) +32.1% more
Howard: 36.1 vs South Carolina State: 24.5
Turnovers (L5) +17.1% more
Howard: 14.2 vs South Carolina State: 11.7
Free Throw % (L5) +14.9%
Howard: 72.5% vs South Carolina State: 57.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HOW Score 80.0 57
SCST Score 97.0 58
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.7 / 37.6 33.0 / 17.0
Assists 12.1 / 13.4 11.0 / 9.0
Blocks 1.9 / 3.7 3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 39.9 / 42.7 44.0 / 31.0
Free Throw % 57.5 / 72.5 70.0 / 64.0
Rebounding 24.5 / 36.1 32.0 / 26.0
Steals 7.5 / 7.6 2.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 11.7 / 14.2 21.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
97%TICKETS3%
87%MONEY13%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
87%MONEY13%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
17%MONEY83%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOW Advantage
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +4.9
SCST
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -11.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOW Advantage
22-8-1 (73.3%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +4.9
SCST
13-16-1 (44.8%)
Margin: -11.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
HOW
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: 0.0
SCST
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SCST
HOW
SCST
HOW
ML
61% 19-12
59% 20-14
74% 20-7
71% 22-9
ATS
68% 21-10
59% 20-14
74% 20-7
71% 22-9
TTL
52% 16-15
62% 21-13
100% 27-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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