Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Yellow Jackets BC @ GT

BOSTON COLLEGE

EAGLESBC

11-20  |  Road

53
FINAL
Sat, Jan 3 • 9:10 AM ET
McCamish Pavilion
View Odds Details →

GEORGIA TECH

YELLOW JACKETSGT

11-20  |  Home

65
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
45%
📊
YELLOW JACKETS
55%
EAGLES --
YELLOW JACKETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
161.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 75%
Under 0 25%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-23.0
GEORGIA TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +23.0 points (Georgia Tech)
EaglesBC (-3.5) 0 Yellow JacketsGT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

1.1%

Yellow Jackets Cover

98.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GT -23.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GT)

BC By 1-7 points

0.8%

BC By 8-14 points

0.1%

GT By 1-7 points

4.8%

GT By 8-14 points

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
69
BOSTON COLLEGE
92
GEORGIA TECH
Simulated Score
BOSTON COLLEGE
GEORGIA TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Yellow Jackets Win
55% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Yellow Jackets (-6.5) Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o145.5 Loss
Proj Total: 161.0
B
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 3, 2026 BC @ GT 53 - 65
Feb 22, 2025 GT @ BC 54 - 69
Jan 4, 2025 BC @ GT 64 - 85
Jan 6, 2024 BC @ GT 95 - 87
Mar 4, 2023 GT @ BC 73 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +60.8% more
Georgia Tech: 19.6 vs Boston College: 12.2
Turnovers (L5) +48.4% more
Georgia Tech: 15.1 vs Boston College: 10.2
Steals (L5) +29.4% more
Georgia Tech: 6.8 vs Boston College: 5.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +20.1%
Georgia Tech: 52.8% vs Boston College: 32.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BC Score 69.0 53
GT Score 92.0 65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 52.8 / 32.8 23.0 / 14.0
Assists 19.6 / 12.2 13.0 / 6.0
Blocks 4.1 / 5.3 3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 53.3 / 40.8 40.0 / 27.0
Free Throw % 79.2 / 67.3 69.0 / 65.0
Rebounding 36.7 / 39.2 49.0 / 34.0
Steals 6.8 / 5.2 6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 15.1 / 10.2 14.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
17%MONEY83%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
60%MONEY40%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
7%MONEY93%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BC
11-20-0 (35.5%)
Margin: -3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
GT
11-20-0 (35.5%)
Margin: -3.6 ATS +/-: -2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BC Advantage
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: -3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
GT
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: -3.6 ATS +/-: -2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
BC
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3% Total +/-: -3.7
GT
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9% Total +/-: +1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GT
BC
GT
BC
ML
61% 19-12
61% 19-12
63% 19-11
61% 17-11
ATS
55% 17-14
73% 22-8-1
63% 19-11
61% 17-11
TTL
61% 19-12
61% 19-12
100% 30-0
100% 28-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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