Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Minutemen @ Eagles MASS @ EMU

MASSACHUSETTS

MINUTEMENMASS

17-16  |  Road

74
FINAL
Tue, Dec 30 • 3:00 PM ET
Gervin GameAbove Center
View Odds Details →

EASTERN MICHIGAN

EAGLESEMU

10-21  |  Home

80
AI Model Win Probability
MINUTEMEN
70%
📊
EAGLES
30%
MINUTEMEN --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
189.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 40%
Under 0 60%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
MASSACHUSETTS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Massachusetts)
MinutemenMASS (-3.5) 0 EaglesEMU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Minutemen Cover

81.6%

Eagles Cover

18.4%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MASS -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MASS)

MASS By 1-7 points

24.3%

MASS By 8-14 points

26.8%

EMU By 1-7 points

12.2%

EMU By 8-14 points

4.0%

AI Model Projected Score
99
MASSACHUSETTS
90
EASTERN MICHIGAN
Simulated Score
MASSACHUSETTS
EASTERN MICHIGAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Minutemen Loss
70% Win Prob
B
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Minutemen (+2.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
C
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o147.5 Win
Proj Total: 189.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 31, 2026 EMU @ MASS 67 - 70
Dec 30, 2025 MASS @ EMU 74 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +40.3% more
Massachusetts: 18.0 vs Eastern Michigan: 10.7
Turnovers (L5) +20.0% more
Massachusetts: 13.9 vs Eastern Michigan: 11.1
Steals (L5) +16.8% more
Massachusetts: 7.6 vs Eastern Michigan: 6.4
Rebounding (L5) +10.9% more
Massachusetts: 37.4 vs Eastern Michigan: 33.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MASS Score 99.0 74
EMU Score 90.0 80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.5 / 39.0 25.0 / 24.0
Assists 10.7 / 18.0 15.0 / 10.0
Blocks 3.4 / 2.4 8.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 43.2 / 43.4 45.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 66.6 / 67.3 69.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 33.4 / 37.4 46.0 / 39.0
Steals 6.4 / 7.6 5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 11.1 / 13.9 9.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
88%MONEY12%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
84%MONEY16%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
46%MONEY54%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MASS Advantage
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -0.9
EMU
10-21-0 (32.3%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MASS
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -0.9
EMU Advantage
20-10-0 (66.7%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
MASS
20-12-0
O: 62.5% / U: 37.5% Total +/-: +4.5
EMU
9-21-0
O: 30.0% / U: 70.0% Total +/-: -3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EMU
MASS
EMU
MASS
ML
65% 20-11
44% 14-18
70% 21-9
68% 21-10
ATS
65% 20-11
47% 15-17
70% 21-9
68% 21-10
TTL
71% 22-9
56% 18-14
100% 30-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
College Football Week 5: Northwestern's Rise, Big Ten Coaches Un…
theathleticuk 4 days, 18 hours ago
Houston Cougars Survive Georgia Southern Scare: Offensive Firepo…
si 1 week, 4 days ago
Princeton Basketball Standout A'mire Gill Pledges to Miami (Ohio…
yahoo 1 week, 4 days ago
DeVonta Smith's Star Turn Lifts Eagles Over Titans in Thrilling …
crossingbroad 2 weeks, 4 days ago
Southern Miss Adds Sharpshooter Elliot Tulip to Bolster Perimete…
si 2 weeks, 6 days ago