NICHOLLS
COLONELSNICH
14-19 | Road
76
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
ISLANDERSAMCC
18-15 | Home
71
AI Model Win Probability
COLONELS
45%
ISLANDERS
55%
COLONELS
--
ISLANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
70%
Under 0
30%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Texas A&M-Corpus Christi)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around AMCC -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AMCC)
NICH By 1-7 points
15.3%
NICH By 8-14 points
5.8%
AMCC By 1-7 points
26.2%
AMCC By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Nicholls
71
NICHOLLS
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
78
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
Simulated Score
Nicholls
NICHOLLS
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Islanders
Loss
55% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Islanders (-6)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o138.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
B
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 7, 2026
AMCC @ NICH
83 - 76
Dec 29, 2025
NICH @ AMCC
76 - 71
Feb 24, 2025
AMCC @ NICH
69 - 71
Jan 25, 2025
NICH @ AMCC
57 - 61
Mar 12, 2024
NICH @ AMCC
81 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+289.3% more
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 4.7
vs
Nicholls: 1.2
Rebounding (L5)
+54.9% more
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 47.2
vs
Nicholls: 30.5
Turnovers (L5)
+26.7% more
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 13.7
vs
Nicholls: 10.8
Assists (L5)
+13.2% more
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 16.7
vs
Nicholls: 14.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NICH Score
71.0
76
AMCC Score
78.0
71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.7 / 39.4
50.0 / 48.0
Assists
16.7 / 14.8
14.0 / 17.0
Blocks
4.7 / 1.2
2.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
46.8 / 49.6
52.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
62.8 / 64.3
77.0 / 88.0
Rebounding
47.2 / 30.5
26.0 / 24.0
Steals
9.9 / 10.0
7.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
13.7 / 10.8
15.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NICH
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -2.5
ATS +/-: -0.3
AMCC
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 4.8
ATS +/-: +1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NICH
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -2.5
ATS +/-: -0.3
AMCC
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: 4.8
ATS +/-: +1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
NICH
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9%
Total +/-: +1.4
AMCC
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AMCC
NICH
AMCC
NICH
ML
70%
21-9
53%
17-15
67%
18-9
68%
19-9
ATS
67%
20-10
47%
15-17
67%
18-9
68%
19-9
TTL
60%
18-12
56%
18-14
100%
27-0
100%
28-0
