Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Privateers @ Vaqueros UNO @ RGV

NEW ORLEANS

PRIVATEERSUNO

15-18  |  Road

85
FINAL
Mon, Dec 29 • 3:07 PM ET
UTRGV Fieldhouse
View Odds Details →

UT RIO GRANDE VALLEY

VAQUEROSRGV

19-14  |  Home

69
AI Model Win Probability
PRIVATEERS
30%
📊
VAQUEROS
70%
PRIVATEERS --
VAQUEROS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 60%
Under 0 40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
UT RIO GRANDE VALLEY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (UT Rio Grande Valley)
PrivateersUNO (-3.5) 0 VaquerosRGV (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Privateers Cover

6.7%

Vaqueros Cover

93.3%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around RGV -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RGV)

UNO By 1-7 points

4.8%

UNO By 8-14 points

1.1%

RGV By 1-7 points

15.3%

RGV By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
59
NEW ORLEANS
74
UT RIO GRANDE VALLEY
Simulated Score
NEW ORLEANS
UT RIO GRANDE VALLEY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Vaqueros Loss
70% Win Prob
B
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Vaqueros (-5.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -15.0
C
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u152.5 Loss
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 7, 2026 RGV @ UNO 95 - 76
Dec 29, 2025 UNO @ RGV 85 - 69
Mar 1, 2025 UNO @ RGV 78 - 88
Jan 4, 2025 RGV @ UNO 76 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +50.9% more
UT Rio Grande Valley: 19.8 vs New Orleans: 13.1
Rebounding (L5) +24.7% more
UT Rio Grande Valley: 40.6 vs New Orleans: 32.5
Steals (L5) +8.5% more
UT Rio Grande Valley: 6.0 vs New Orleans: 5.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.5%
UT Rio Grande Valley: 40.0% vs New Orleans: 34.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UNO Score 59.0 85
RGV Score 74.0 69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.0 / 34.6 39.0 / 36.0
Assists 19.8 / 13.1 17.0 / 15.0
Blocks 2.1 / 4.4 3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 48.8 / 44.2 41.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 70.7 / 76.6 59.0 / 90.0
Rebounding 40.6 / 32.5 35.0 / 38.0
Steals 6.0 / 5.5 4.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 10.2 / 16.8 16.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
11%TICKETS89%
4%MONEY96%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
19%MONEY81%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
29%MONEY71%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNO
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: +3.4
RGV Advantage
19-14-0 (57.6%)
Margin: 6.4 ATS +/-: +4.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNO
19-14-0 (57.6%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: +3.4
RGV Advantage
18-13-0 (58.1%)
Margin: 6.4 ATS +/-: +4.1
⚖️ Over/Under
UNO
19-14-0
O: 57.6% / U: 42.4% Total +/-: +2.0
RGV
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: -1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RGV
UNO
RGV
UNO
ML
53% 16-14
52% 16-15
54% 15-13
57% 17-13
ATS
53% 16-14
52% 16-15
54% 15-13
57% 17-13
TTL
60% 18-12
58% 18-13
100% 28-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
UNO Breaks Ground on $67.5 Million Athletics Complex to Elevate …
news_unomaha 2 weeks, 6 days ago
Lions Edge Saints in Overtime Thriller: Winners and Losers from …
si 3 weeks, 4 days ago
Jackrabbits Set for 2026-27 Campaign, Opening at Kansas State an…
mitchellrepublic 1 month ago
From Critic to Teammate: Ex-Ole Miss Lineman Zxavian Harris Expe…
al 1 month, 2 weeks ago
Dick Vitale Offers Encouraging Health Update Following Fifth Can…
nypost 2 months ago