CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
1-0 | Road
136
CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
0-0 | Home
125
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
25%
CAVALIERS
75%
BULLS
--
CAVALIERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
198.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
85%
Under 0
15%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CHI -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
CHI By 1-7 points
20.1%
CHI By 8-14 points
27.2%
CLE By 1-7 points
8.0%
CLE By 8-14 points
2.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
105
CHICAGO
Cleveland
93
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
Chicago
CHICAGO
Cleveland
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bulls
Win
25% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bulls (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
C
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 198.0
A
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 19, 2026
CLE @ CHI
115 - 110
Dec 19, 2025
CHI @ CLE
136 - 125
Dec 17, 2025
CLE @ CHI
111 - 127
Nov 8, 2025
CHI @ CLE
122 - 128
Oct 9, 2025
CLE @ CHI
112 - 119
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+13.2% more
Chicago: 9.5
vs
Cleveland: 8.3
Assists (L5)
+10.6% more
Chicago: 28.9
vs
Cleveland: 25.8
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.0%
Chicago: 48.4%
vs
Cleveland: 44.3%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.5%
Chicago: 33.8%
vs
Cleveland: 30.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
105.0
136
CLE Score
93.0
125
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.3 / 33.8
36.0 / 38.0
Assists
25.8 / 28.9
31.0 / 34.0
Blocks
3.4 / 3.7
1.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
44.3 / 48.4
48.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
82.6 / 78.8
79.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
45.8 / 42.8
46.0 / 48.0
Steals
8.3 / 9.5
10.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
14.4 / 14.8
15.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
CLE
Advantage
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
Advantage
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
CHI
CLE
CHI
ML
60%
69-46
56%
54-42
56%
55-44
57%
46-35
ATS
67%
75-37-3
65%
62-33-1
56%
55-44
57%
46-35
TTL
59%
68-47
58%
56-40
100%
99-0
100%
81-0
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