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PHILADELPHIA

76ERSPHI

1-0  |  Road

116
FINAL
Fri, Dec 19 • 2:00 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

53-29  |  Home

107
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
50%
📊
KNICKS
50%
76ERS --
KNICKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
198.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 10%
Under 0 90%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Philadelphia)
76ersPHI (-3.5) 0 KnicksNY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

76ers Cover

88.5%

Knicks Cover

11.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PHI -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)

PHI By 1-7 points

20.1%

PHI By 8-14 points

27.2%

NY By 1-7 points

8.0%

NY By 8-14 points

2.2%

AI Model Projected Score
105
PHILADELPHIA
93
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
PHILADELPHIA
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI 76ers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI 76ers (-6) Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
B
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u229.5 Win
Proj Total: 198.0
A
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
May 10, 2026 NY @ PHI 144 - 114
May 8, 2026 NY @ PHI 108 - 94
May 6, 2026 PHI @ NY 102 - 108
May 4, 2026 PHI @ NY 98 - 137
Feb 11, 2026 NY @ PHI 138 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +14.0%
Philadelphia: 83.0% vs New York: 69.0%
Blocks (L5) +8.7% more
Philadelphia: 6.2 vs New York: 5.6
Assists (L5) +16.6% more
New York: 27.7 vs Philadelphia: 23.7
Field Goal % (L5) +8.9%
New York: 50.0% vs Philadelphia: 41.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PHI Score 105.0 116
NY Score 93.0 107
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.0 / 36.4 25.0 / 41.0
Assists 27.7 / 23.7 26.0 / 21.0
Blocks 5.6 / 6.2 3.0 / 8.0
Field Goal % 50.0 / 41.1 44.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 69.0 / 83.0 84.0 / 90.0
Rebounding 48.5 / 50.4 57.0 / 36.0
Steals 8.8 / 8.6 3.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 13.3 / 12.4 18.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
37%MONEY63%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
43%MONEY57%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
63%MONEY37%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2% Total +/-: +1.4
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
PHI
NY
PHI
ML
61% 114-72
63% 69-40
56% 57-45
48% 45-48
ATS
67% 124-62
65% 71-38
56% 57-45
48% 45-48
TTL
72% 133-53
55% 60-49
100% 102-0
100% 93-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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