Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Spartans @ Miners NORF @ UTEP

NORFOLK STATE

SPARTANSNORF

15-17  |  Road

72
FINAL
Sun, Dec 21 • 4:30 PM ET
Don Haskins Center
View Odds Details →

UTEP

MINERSUTEP

11-20  |  Home

71
AI Model Win Probability
SPARTANS
85%
📊
MINERS
15%
SPARTANS --
MINERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
NORFOLK STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Norfolk State)
SpartansNORF (-3.5) 0 MinersUTEP (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Spartans Cover

95.5%

Miners Cover

4.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NORF -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NORF)

NORF By 1-7 points

12.2%

NORF By 8-14 points

23.0%

UTEP By 1-7 points

3.3%

UTEP By 8-14 points

0.6%

AI Model Projected Score
77
NORFOLK STATE
60
UTEP
Simulated Score
NORFOLK STATE
UTEP
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Spartans Win
85% Win Prob
A
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Spartans (-8.5) Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
A
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o135.5 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 21, 2025 NORF @ UTEP 72 - 71
Dec 20, 2023 NORF @ UTEP 65 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +29.8% more
Norfolk State: 14.2 vs UTEP: 10.0
Rebounding (L5) +16.8% more
Norfolk State: 37.7 vs UTEP: 31.4
Field Goal % (L5) +2.4%
Norfolk State: 44.4% vs UTEP: 42.0%
Blocks (L5) +33.1% more
UTEP: 4.1 vs Norfolk State: 3.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NORF Score 77.0 72
UTEP Score 60.0 71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.7 / 32.0 29.0 / 35.0
Assists 10.0 / 14.2 16.0 / 15.0
Blocks 4.1 / 3.1 4.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 42.0 / 44.4 47.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 62.8 / 62.7 44.0 / 63.0
Rebounding 31.4 / 37.7 38.0 / 33.0
Steals 6.6 / 5.5 10.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 12.1 / 12.9 16.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
12%TICKETS88%
8%MONEY92%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
55%MONEY45%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
89%MONEY11%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NORF Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -1.0
UTEP
11-20-0 (35.5%)
Margin: -3.1 ATS +/-: -1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NORF
13-15-0 (46.4%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -1.0
UTEP
13-15-0 (46.4%)
Margin: -3.1 ATS +/-: -1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
NORF
19-9-0
O: 67.9% / U: 32.1% Total +/-: +4.6
UTEP
12-15-1
O: 44.4% / U: 55.6% Total +/-: -1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTEP
NORF
UTEP
NORF
ML
70% 21-9
67% 20-10
72% 21-8
71% 20-8
ATS
57% 17-13
63% 19-11
73% 22-8
72% 21-8
TTL
60% 18-12
60% 18-12
100% 30-0
100% 29-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
UTEP Men's Basketball Unveils 2026-27 Schedule: Mountain West De…
kvia 1 week, 2 days ago
Michigan State Lands Five-Star Point Guard Antonio Pemberton: Wh…
yahoo 2 weeks, 6 days ago
Brady Pretzlaff's Long Road Back to Spartan Stadium: A Promise F…
yahoo 3 weeks, 5 days ago
Virginia Set for Friday Night Blowout Against Norfolk State, Ana…
si 4 weeks ago
Former Michigan State Forward Jaxon Kohler Finds New Home at BYU
newspub_live 1 month, 2 weeks ago