Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Red Raiders @ Blue Devils TTU @ DUKE

TEXAS TECH

RED RAIDERSTTU

23-11  |  Road

82
FINAL
Sat, Dec 20 • 3:10 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

DUKE

BLUE DEVILSDUKE

35-3  |  Home

81
AI Model Win Probability
RED RAIDERS
50%
📊
BLUE DEVILS
50%
RED RAIDERS --
BLUE DEVILS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
DUKE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Duke)
Red RaidersTTU (-3.5) 0 Blue DevilsDUKE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Red Raiders Cover

46.0%

Blue Devils Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DUKE -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DUKE)

TTU By 1-7 points

24.3%

TTU By 8-14 points

13.7%

DUKE By 1-7 points

26.2%

DUKE By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
67
TEXAS TECH
68
DUKE
Simulated Score
TEXAS TECH
DUKE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Blue Devils Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Blue Devils (+9) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u153.0 Loss
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 20, 2025 TTU @ DUKE 82 - 81
Mar 24, 2022 TTU @ DUKE 73 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +80.7% more
Duke: 14.0 vs Texas Tech: 7.8
Steals (L5) +55.7% more
Duke: 8.8 vs Texas Tech: 5.7
Rebounding (L5) +34.8% more
Duke: 45.1 vs Texas Tech: 33.4
Assists (L5) +14.3% more
Duke: 17.4 vs Texas Tech: 15.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TTU Score 67.0 82
DUKE Score 68.0 81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.2 / 40.3 37.0 / 32.0
Assists 17.4 / 15.2 15.0 / 9.0
Blocks 4.8 / 4.7 2.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 48.3 / 51.4 52.0 / 55.0
Free Throw % 70.1 / 62.8 59.0 / 65.0
Rebounding 45.1 / 33.4 29.0 / 30.0
Steals 8.8 / 5.7 8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 14.0 / 7.8 11.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TTU
23-11-0 (67.7%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
DUKE Advantage
35-3-0 (92.1%)
Margin: 18.0 ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TTU
17-17-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
DUKE Advantage
20-18-0 (52.6%)
Margin: 18.0 ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
TTU
15-19-0
O: 44.1% / U: 55.9% Total +/-: -1.6
DUKE
14-24-0
O: 36.8% / U: 63.2% Total +/-: -3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DUKE
TTU
DUKE
TTU
ML
71% 27-11
62% 21-13
73% 24-9
71% 22-9
ATS
79% 30-8
65% 22-12
73% 24-9
71% 22-9
TTL
47% 18-20
59% 20-14
100% 33-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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