SOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATE
REDHAWKSSEMO
20-13 | Road
74
TENNESSEE TECH
GOLDEN EAGLESTNTC
13-18 | Home
85
AI Model Win Probability
REDHAWKS
90%
GOLDEN EAGLES
10%
REDHAWKS
--
GOLDEN EAGLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
89.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
95%
Under 0
5%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Southeast Missouri State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SEMO -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEMO)
SEMO By 1-7 points
9.3%
SEMO By 8-14 points
20.1%
TNTC By 1-7 points
2.2%
TNTC By 8-14 points
0.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Southeast Missouri State
54
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATE
Tennessee Tech
35
TENNESSEE TECH
Simulated Score
Southeast Missouri State
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATE
Tennessee Tech
TENNESSEE TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Redhawks
Loss
90% Win Prob
A
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Redhawks (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -19.0
A
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 89.0
A
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
TNTC @ SEMO
73 - 89
Dec 18, 2025
SEMO @ TNTC
74 - 85
Feb 15, 2025
TNTC @ SEMO
69 - 83
Jan 16, 2025
SEMO @ TNTC
77 - 70
Feb 8, 2024
TNTC @ SEMO
69 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+20.1% more
Tennessee Tech: 9.9
vs
Southeast Missouri State: 8.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+11.7%
Tennessee Tech: 39.9%
vs
Southeast Missouri State: 28.2%
Turnovers (L5)
+8.4% more
Tennessee Tech: 14.1
vs
Southeast Missouri State: 13.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.4%
Tennessee Tech: 74.7%
vs
Southeast Missouri State: 69.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEMO Score
54.0
74
TNTC Score
35.0
85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.9 / 28.2
40.0 / 31.0
Assists
15.8 / 15.1
12.0 / 9.0
Blocks
3.3 / 3.4
6.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
50.6 / 48.3
44.0 / 35.0
Free Throw %
74.7 / 69.3
83.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
37.5 / 35.4
36.0 / 38.0
Steals
9.9 / 8.2
7.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
14.1 / 13.0
11.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEMO
Advantage
20-13-0
(60.6%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
TNTC
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEMO
14-16-0
(46.7%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
TNTC
Advantage
14-14-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
SEMO
13-17-0
O: 43.3% / U: 56.7%
Total +/-: -2.4
TNTC
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TNTC
SEMO
TNTC
SEMO
ML
50%
15-15
64%
21-12
65%
15-8
50%
15-15
ATS
50%
15-15
67%
22-11
65%
15-8
50%
15-15
TTL
57%
17-13
58%
19-14
100%
23-0
100%
30-0
