Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Lions @ Rainbow Warriors ETAM @ HAW

EAST TEXAS A&M

LIONSETAM

11-21  |  Road

74
FINAL
Sun, Nov 9 • 8:00 PM ET
Stan Sheriff Center
View Odds Details →

HAWAI'I

RAINBOW WARRIORSHAW

24-9  |  Home

100
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
50%
📊
RAINBOW WARRIORS
50%
LIONS --
RAINBOW WARRIORS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
99.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 15%
Under 0 85%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
HAWAI'I
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Hawai'i)
LionsETAM (-3.5) 0 Rainbow WarriorsHAW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Lions Cover

46.0%

Rainbow Warriors Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HAW -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HAW)

ETAM By 1-7 points

24.3%

ETAM By 8-14 points

13.7%

HAW By 1-7 points

26.2%

HAW By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
49
EAST TEXAS A&M
50
HAWAI'I
Simulated Score
EAST TEXAS A&M
HAWAI'I
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Rainbow Warriors Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Rainbow Warriors (+18.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
A
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u145.5 Loss
Proj Total: 99.0
A
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 9, 2025 ETAM @ HAW 74 - 100
Nov 30, 2022 ETAM @ HAW 53 - 51
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +9.5%
Hawai'i: 75.4% vs East Texas A&M: 66.0%
Steals (L5) +44.1% more
East Texas A&M: 10.4 vs Hawai'i: 5.8
Assists (L5) +35.2% more
East Texas A&M: 17.9 vs Hawai'i: 11.6
Blocks (L5) +33.6% more
East Texas A&M: 4.3 vs Hawai'i: 2.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ETAM Score 49.0 74
HAW Score 50.0 100
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 26.4 / 28.3 44.0 / 38.0
Assists 11.6 / 17.9 16.0 / 13.0
Blocks 2.8 / 4.3 3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 38.8 / 43.7 55.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 75.4 / 66.0 69.0 / 69.0
Rebounding 37.6 / 36.4 36.0 / 24.0
Steals 5.8 / 10.4 6.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 14.9 / 14.8 14.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ETAM
11-21-0 (34.4%)
Margin: -4.3 ATS +/-: -1.7
HAW Advantage
24-9-0 (72.7%)
Margin: 9.0 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ETAM Advantage
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: -4.3 ATS +/-: -1.7
HAW
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: 9.0 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
ETAM
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: -1.3
HAW
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: -0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HAW
ETAM
HAW
ETAM
ML
61% 20-13
52% 13-12
68% 21-10
62% 15-9
ATS
67% 22-11
56% 14-11
68% 21-10
62% 15-9
TTL
61% 20-13
68% 17-8
100% 31-0
100% 24-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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