DOMINICAN (IL)
DOMINICANDOM
0-0 | Road
56
PURDUE FORT WAYNE
MASTODONSPFW
17-15 | Home
137
AI Model Win Probability
DOMINICAN
55%
MASTODONS
45%
DOMINICAN
--
MASTODONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
134.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
27%
Under 0
73%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-30.0
PURDUE FORT WAYNE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +30.0 points (Purdue Fort Wayne)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PFW -30.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PFW)
DOM By 1-7 points
0.1%
DOM By 8-14 points
0.0%
PFW By 1-7 points
1.1%
PFW By 8-14 points
4.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Dominican (IL)
52
DOMINICAN (IL)
Purdue Fort Wayne
82
PURDUE FORT WAYNE
Simulated Score
Dominican (IL)
DOMINICAN (IL)
Purdue Fort Wayne
PURDUE FORT WAYNE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Mastodons
Win
45% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Mastodons (+5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -30.0
C
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u155.5
Loss
Proj Total: 134.0
B
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 9, 2025
DOM @ PFW
56 - 137
Key Model Drivers
No driver metrics compiled for this game.
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DOM Score
52.0
56
PFW Score
82.0
137
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.6 / 0.0
50.0 / 23.0
Assists
10.8 / 0.0
31.0 / 14.0
Blocks
2.2 / 0.0
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
42.8 / 0.0
68.0 / 33.0
Free Throw %
72.4 / 0.0
82.0 / 85.0
Rebounding
25.4 / 0.0
38.0 / 24.0
Steals
9.1 / 0.0
21.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
12.9 / 0.0
6.0 / 27.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DOM
--
PFW
Advantage
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 1.0
ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DOM
--
PFW
Advantage
12-17-0
(41.4%)
Margin: 1.0
ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
DOM
--
PFW
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PFW
DOM
PFW
DOM
ML
59%
19-13
100%
2-0
74%
23-8
100%
1-0
ATS
62%
20-12
100%
2-0
74%
23-8
100%
1-0
TTL
59%
19-13
50%
1-1
100%
31-0
100%
1-0
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