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OTTAWA

SENATORSOTT

3-1-0  |  Road

4
FINAL
Sun, Oct 27 • 9:00 PM ET
Matchup Hub
View Odds Details →

COLORADO

AVALANCHECOL

2-1-0  |  Home

5
Goaltending
Linus Ullmark
GOALTENDER

Linus Ullmark

#35 | Goaltender
@
Devon Toews
GOALTENDER

Devon Toews

#7 | Defense
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Linus Ullmark None-None 0.00 1.000 --
Devon Toews None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
0.00 GAA --
1.000 Save % --
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
SENATORS
50%
📊
AVALANCHE
50%
SENATORS --
AVALANCHE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Colorado)
SenatorsOTT (-3.5) 0 AvalancheCOL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Senators Cover

42.5%

Avalanche Cover

57.5%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around COL -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)

OTT By 1 goal

15.6%

OTT By 2-3 goals

14.7%

COL By 1 goal

18.8%

COL By 2-3 goals

22.8%

AI Model Projected Score
3.02
OTTAWA
3.4
COLORADO
Simulated Score
OTTAWA
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Avalanche Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Avalanche (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -0.4
D
Sim
Proj Goals:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 6.4
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 28, 2026 COL @ OTT 2 - 5
Jan 8, 2026 OTT @ COL 2 - 8
Mar 20, 2025 COL @ OTT 5 - 1
Oct 27, 2024 OTT @ COL 4 - 5
Jan 16, 2024 COL @ OTT 7 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +43.2% more
Ottawa: 5.6 vs Colorado: 3.2
Hits (L5) +22.0% more
Ottawa: 29.9 vs Colorado: 23.3
Power Play % (L5) +13.5%
Ottawa: 54.1% vs Colorado: 40.6%
Shots on Goal (L5) +8.3% more
Ottawa: 31.4 vs Colorado: 28.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
OTT Score 3.0 4
COL Score 3.4 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 19.0 / 17.7 8.0 / 23.0
Faceoff % 40.0 / 45.8 44.4 / 55.6
Hits 23.3 / 29.9 20.0 / 38.0
Power Play % 4058.0 / 5409.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 28.8 / 31.4 32.0 / 30.0
Takeaways 3.2 / 5.6 4.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
9%TICKETS91%
8%MONEY92%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
11%MONEY89%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
89%TICKETS11%
86%MONEY14%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
OTT
COL
OTT
ML
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
ATS
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
TTL
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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