Home / NHL Projections NHL / Oilers @ Red Wings EDM @ DET

EDMONTON

OILERSEDM

3-0-1  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sun, Oct 27 • 6:00 PM ET
Matchup Hub
View Odds Details →

DETROIT

RED WINGSDET

1-2-0  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Ty Emberson
GOALTENDER

Ty Emberson

#49 | Defense
@
Moritz Seider
GOALTENDER

Moritz Seider

#53 | Defense
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Ty Emberson None-None -- -- --
Moritz Seider None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA --
-- Save % --
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
50%
📊
RED WINGS
50%
OILERS --
RED WINGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Edmonton)
OilersEDM (-3.5) 0 Red WingsDET (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Oilers Cover

59.3%

Red Wings Cover

40.7%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around EDM -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)

EDM By 1 goal

19.1%

EDM By 2-3 goals

23.8%

DET By 1 goal

15.2%

DET By 2-3 goals

13.9%

AI Model Projected Score
2.14
EDMONTON
1.67
DETROIT
Simulated Score
EDMONTON
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Oilers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Oilers (-0) Win
Proj Goals: -0.5
D
Sim
Proj Goals:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 3.8
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 11, 2025 DET @ EDM 1 - 4
Oct 19, 2025 EDM @ DET 2 - 4
Jan 30, 2025 DET @ EDM 3 - 2
Oct 27, 2024 EDM @ DET 3 - 2
Feb 13, 2024 DET @ EDM 4 - 8
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +40.5% more
Edmonton: 38.5 vs Detroit: 22.9
Takeaways (L5) +18.8% more
Edmonton: 7.3 vs Detroit: 6.0
Power Play % (L5) +7.0%
Edmonton: 23.6% vs Detroit: 16.7%
Faceoff % (L5) +1.8%
Edmonton: 56.5% vs Detroit: 54.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
EDM Score 2.1 3
DET Score 1.7 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 16.5 / 15.1 20.0 / 14.0
Faceoff % 54.8 / 56.5 60.3 / 39.7
Hits 17.5 / 12.7 23.0 / 11.0
Power Play % 1665.0 / 2361.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 22.9 / 38.5 26.0 / 34.0
Takeaways 6.0 / 7.3 1.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
81%TICKETS19%
74%MONEY26%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
42%MONEY58%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
91%TICKETS9%
94%MONEY6%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
EDM
DET
EDM
ML
67% 2-1
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
ATS
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
67% 2-1
25% 1-3
TTL
0% 0-3
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Canadiens Accused of Showcasing Kirby Dach as Trade Rumors Swirl
yardbarker 6 hours, 22 minutes ago
Penguins Trade Hallander to Oilers for Defenseman Stastney
observer_reporter 1 day ago
Dylan Larkin Scores in Return to Red Wings Lineup Amid Trade Req…
nbcsports 1 day, 5 hours ago
Dylan Larkin Cleared to Return: Red Wings Star Set for Season De…
yardbarker 2 days, 6 hours ago
Alex Ovechkin Announces Final NHL Season: Capitals Legend Set fo…
headtopics 2 days, 18 hours ago