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PITTSBURGH

PENGUINSPIT

2-2-0  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sat, Oct 26 • 10:00 PM ET
Matchup Hub
View Odds Details →

VANCOUVER

CANUCKSVAN

2-2-0  |  Home

4
Goaltending
Kris Letang
GOALTENDER

Kris Letang

#58 | Defense
@
Kevin Lankinen
GOALTENDER

Kevin Lankinen

#32 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Kris Letang None-None -- -- --
Kevin Lankinen None-None 3.00 0.875 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 3.00
-- Save % 0.875
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
PENGUINS
50%
📊
CANUCKS
50%
PENGUINS --
CANUCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
VANCOUVER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Vancouver)
PenguinsPIT (-3.5) 0 CanucksVAN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Penguins Cover

47.8%

Canucks Cover

52.2%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VAN -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VAN)

PIT By 1 goal

17.0%

PIT By 2-3 goals

17.5%

VAN By 1 goal

17.9%

VAN By 2-3 goals

19.8%

AI Model Projected Score
3.51
PITTSBURGH
3.62
VANCOUVER
Simulated Score
PITTSBURGH
VANCOUVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Canucks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Canucks (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -0.1
D
Sim
Proj Goals:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 7.1
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 25, 2026 PIT @ VAN 3 - 2
Oct 21, 2025 VAN @ PIT 1 - 5
Nov 27, 2024 VAN @ PIT 4 - 5
Oct 26, 2024 PIT @ VAN 3 - 4
Feb 27, 2024 PIT @ VAN 4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +33.6% more
Vancouver: 30.6 vs Pittsburgh: 22.9
Power Play % (L5) +2.3%
Vancouver: 28.3% vs Pittsburgh: 25.9%
Blocked Shots (L5) +25.9% more
Pittsburgh: 17.5 vs Vancouver: 12.9
Shots on Goal (L5) +11.3% more
Pittsburgh: 32.9 vs Vancouver: 29.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PIT Score 3.5 3
VAN Score 3.6 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 12.9 / 17.5 9.0 / 13.0
Faceoff % 48.0 / 52.9 57.1 / 42.9
Hits 30.6 / 22.9 24.0 / 16.0
Power Play % 2827.0 / 2594.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 29.2 / 32.9 34.0 / 24.0
Takeaways 6.1 / 6.1 7.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
10%TICKETS90%
15%MONEY85%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
30%MONEY70%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
99%TICKETS1%
99%MONEY1%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VAN
PIT
VAN
PIT
ML
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
ATS
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
TTL
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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