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FLORIDA

PANTHERSFLA

2-0-2  |  Road

6
FINAL
Sat, Oct 26 • 7:30 PM ET
Matchup Hub
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

ISLANDERSNYI

1-2-0  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Niko Mikkola
GOALTENDER

Niko Mikkola

#77 | Defense
@
Semyon Varlamov
GOALTENDER

Semyon Varlamov

#40 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Niko Mikkola None-None -- -- --
Semyon Varlamov None-None 5.15 0.821 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 5.15
-- Save % 0.821
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
50%
📊
ISLANDERS
50%
PANTHERS --
ISLANDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Florida)
PanthersFLA (-3.5) 0 IslandersNYI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

58.3%

Islanders Cover

41.7%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around FLA -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)

FLA By 1 goal

18.9%

FLA By 2-3 goals

23.3%

NYI By 1 goal

15.4%

NYI By 2-3 goals

14.4%

AI Model Projected Score
3.21
FLORIDA
2.79
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
FLORIDA
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Panthers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Panthers (-0) Win
Proj Goals: -0.4
D
Sim
Proj Goals:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 28, 2026 FLA @ NYI 2 - 5
Mar 1, 2026 FLA @ NYI 4 - 5
Dec 7, 2025 NYI @ FLA 1 - 4
Mar 16, 2025 FLA @ NYI 2 - 4
Feb 2, 2025 NYI @ FLA 3 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +31.8% more
Florida: 34.6 vs New York: 23.6
Takeaways (L5) +20.3% more
Florida: 6.0 vs New York: 4.8
Power Play % (L5) +6.3%
Florida: 19.7% vs New York: 13.4%
Faceoff % (L5) +12.5%
New York: 55.9% vs Florida: 43.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
FLA Score 3.2 6
NYI Score 2.8 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 14.1 / 12.7 11.0 / 12.0
Faceoff % 55.9 / 43.4 58.2 / 41.8
Hits 23.6 / 34.6 23.0 / 20.0
Power Play % 13.4 / 19.7 0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal 31.7 / 30.3 28.0 / 29.0
Takeaways 4.8 / 6.0 7.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
82%TICKETS18%
83%MONEY17%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
88%MONEY12%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
97%TICKETS3%
98%MONEY2%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYI
FLA
NYI
FLA
ML
67% 2-1
0% 0-4
67% 2-1
0% 0-4
ATS
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
TTL
100% 2-0-1
25% 1-3
100% 2-0-1
0% 0-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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