Home / NHL Projections NHL / Jets @ Flames WPG @ CGY

WINNIPEG

JETSWPG

3-0-1  |  Road

5
FINAL
Sat, Oct 26 • 7:00 PM ET
Matchup Hub
View Odds Details →

CALGARY

FLAMESCGY

0-3-0  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Dylan Samberg
GOALTENDER

Dylan Samberg

#54 | Defense
@
Dustin Wolf
GOALTENDER

Dustin Wolf

#32 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Dylan Samberg None-None -- -- --
Dustin Wolf None-None 4.11 0.882 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 4.11
-- Save % 0.882
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
JETS
50%
📊
FLAMES
50%
JETS --
FLAMES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
WINNIPEG
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (Winnipeg)
JetsWPG (-3.5) 0 FlamesCGY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Jets Cover

72.7%

Flames Cover

27.3%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around WPG -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WPG)

WPG By 1 goal

19.6%

WPG By 2-3 goals

31.6%

CGY By 1 goal

10.9%

CGY By 2-3 goals

7.8%

AI Model Projected Score
4.1
WINNIPEG
2.89
CALGARY
Simulated Score
WINNIPEG
CALGARY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Jets Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Jets (-0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.2
D
Sim
Proj Goals:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 15, 2025 WPG @ CGY 4 - 3
Oct 24, 2025 CGY @ WPG 3 - 5
Oct 20, 2025 WPG @ CGY 2 - 1
Oct 3, 2025 WPG @ CGY 5 - 4
Sep 27, 2025 CGY @ WPG 2 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +13.2% more
Winnipeg: 32.5 vs Calgary: 28.2
Power Play % (L5) +11.9%
Winnipeg: 23.8% vs Calgary: 11.9%
Faceoff % (L5) +10.4%
Winnipeg: 53.0% vs Calgary: 42.6%
Hits (L5) +22.6% more
Calgary: 27.8 vs Winnipeg: 22.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WPG Score 4.1 5
CGY Score 2.9 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 16.4 / 16.3 18.0 / 17.0
Faceoff % 42.6 / 53.0 53.4 / 46.6
Hits 27.8 / 22.7 31.0 / 18.0
Power Play % 11.9 / 23.8 0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal 28.2 / 32.5 29.0 / 35.0
Takeaways 4.6 / 4.9 7.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
81%TICKETS19%
53%MONEY47%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
95%MONEY5%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
95%TICKETS5%
95%MONEY5%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CGY
WPG
CGY
WPG
ML
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
ATS
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
100% 4-0
TTL
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Avalanche Crush Flames 7-3 as Makar Shines with Two Goals and an…
durangoherald 0 minutes ago
Avalanche Crush Flames 7-3 as Makar Shines with Three Points
timesargus 0 minutes ago
Avalanche Crush Winless Flames 7-3 as Makar Shines with Three Po…
yahoo 0 minutes ago
Avalanche Erupt for Seven Goals to Torch Flames at Scotiabank Sa…
yahoo 0 minutes ago
Makar's Hometown Heroics: Avalanche Crush Flames 7-3
yardbarker 0 minutes ago