PITTSBURGH
PENGUINSPIT
2-2-0 | Road
0
EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
3-0-1 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Joel Blomqvist
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Ty Emberson
#49 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Blomqvist | None-None | 4.00 | 0.920 | -- |
| Ty Emberson | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.00
GAA
--
0.920
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
PENGUINS
50%
OILERS
50%
PENGUINS
--
OILERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (Edmonton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around EDM -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)
PIT By 1 goal
11.1%
PIT By 2-3 goals
8.1%
EDM By 1 goal
19.7%
EDM By 2-3 goals
31.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Pittsburgh
1.91
PITTSBURGH
Edmonton
3.08
EDMONTON
Simulated Score
Pittsburgh
PITTSBURGH
Edmonton
EDMONTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Oilers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Oilers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.2
D
Sim
Proj Goals:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 22, 2026
PIT @ EDM
6 - 2
Dec 16, 2025
EDM @ PIT
6 - 4
Jan 9, 2025
EDM @ PIT
3 - 5
Oct 25, 2024
PIT @ EDM
0 - 4
Mar 10, 2024
EDM @ PIT
4 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+21.2% more
Edmonton: 7.5
vs
Pittsburgh: 6.2
Hits (L5)
+43.3% more
Pittsburgh: 23.9
vs
Edmonton: 13.5
Power Play % (L5)
+28.5%
Pittsburgh: 38.9%
vs
Edmonton: 10.4%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+15.2% more
Pittsburgh: 16.7
vs
Edmonton: 14.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PIT Score
1.9
0
EDM Score
3.1
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.2 / 16.7
17.0 / 19.0
Faceoff %
56.1 / 58.1
57.4 / 42.6
Hits
13.5 / 23.9
11.0 / 21.0
Power Play %
10.4 / 38.9
50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
32.7 / 35.9
50.0 / 27.0
Takeaways
7.5 / 6.2
7.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EDM
PIT
EDM
PIT
ML
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
ATS
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
TTL
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
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