BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
1-0 | Road
99
INDIANA
PACERSIND
1-0 | Home
105
AI Model Win Probability
NETS
27%
PACERS
73%
NETS
--
PACERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
226.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
58%
Under 0
42%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.7
INDIANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.7 points (Indiana)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around IND -6.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IND)
BKN By 1-7 points
15.8%
BKN By 8-14 points
6.1%
IND By 1-7 points
26.4%
IND By 8-14 points
25.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Brooklyn
109.8
BROOKLYN
Indiana
116.51
INDIANA
Simulated Score
Brooklyn
BROOKLYN
Indiana
INDIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Pacers
Win
73% Win Prob
B
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Pacers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.7
B
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 226.3
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 9, 2026
IND @ BKN
123 - 94
Feb 11, 2026
IND @ BKN
115 - 110
Nov 5, 2025
BKN @ IND
112 - 103
Mar 22, 2025
BKN @ IND
103 - 108
Mar 20, 2025
BKN @ IND
99 - 105
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+22.6% more
Indiana: 4.8
vs
Brooklyn: 3.9
Turnovers (L5)
+15.3% more
Indiana: 13.3
vs
Brooklyn: 11.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.0%
Indiana: 79.2%
vs
Brooklyn: 72.2%
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.2%
Indiana: 50.6%
vs
Brooklyn: 44.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BKN Score
109.8
99
IND Score
116.5
105
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.6 / 37.0
25.8 / 28.0
Assists
29.2 / 27.7
18.0 / 20.0
Blocks
4.8 / 3.9
8.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
50.6 / 44.4
43.2 / 35.6
Free Throw %
79.2 / 72.2
87.1 / 72.2
Rebounding
40.2 / 41.4
57.0 / 47.0
Steals
6.9 / 7.5
10.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
13.3 / 11.5
25.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
Advantage
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
IND
19-63-0
(23.2%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
IND
Advantage
40-42-0
(48.8%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
IND
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IND
BKN
IND
BKN
ML
48%
47-50
53%
50-45
54%
45-38
59%
48-34
ATS
59%
57-40
52%
48-44-3
54%
45-38
59%
48-34
TTL
54%
52-45
57%
54-41
100%
83-0
100%
82-0
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