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PHILADELPHIA

76ERSPHI

1-0  |  Road

137
FINAL
Mon, Mar 17 • 8:00 PM ET
Matchup Hub
View Odds Details →

HOUSTON

ROCKETSHOU

0-0  |  Home

144
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
23%
📊
ROCKETS
77%
76ERS --
ROCKETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
230.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 60%
Under 0 40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
0.0
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
76ersPHI (-3.5) 0 RocketsHOU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

76ers Cover

50.1%

Rockets Cover

49.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PHI 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)

PHI By 1-7 points

25.4%

PHI By 8-14 points

15.3%

HOU By 1-7 points

25.3%

HOU By 8-14 points

15.3%

AI Model Projected Score
115.43
PHILADELPHIA
115.41
HOUSTON
Simulated Score
PHILADELPHIA
HOUSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI 76ers Loss
23% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI 76ers (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: 0.0
A
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 230.8
C
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 9, 2026 PHI @ HOU 102 - 113
Jan 22, 2026 HOU @ PHI 122 - 128
Mar 17, 2025 PHI @ HOU 137 - 144
Nov 27, 2024 HOU @ PHI 122 - 115
Jan 15, 2024 HOU @ PHI 115 - 124
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +41.6% more
Philadelphia: 10.4 vs Houston: 6.1
Blocks (L5) +13.6% more
Philadelphia: 6.0 vs Houston: 5.2
Free Throw % (L5) +8.7%
Philadelphia: 77.5% vs Houston: 68.8%
Rebounding (L5) +34.8% more
Houston: 54.3 vs Philadelphia: 40.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PHI Score 115.4 137
HOU Score 115.4 144
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.0 / 33.0 41.5 / 49.0
Assists 25.1 / 20.7 35.0 / 21.0
Blocks 5.2 / 6.0 5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 47.0 / 47.6 47.7 / 50.5
Free Throw % 68.8 / 77.5 83.3 / 68.0
Rebounding 54.3 / 40.3 58.0 / 35.0
Steals 6.1 / 10.4 8.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 13.3 / 12.6 15.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
16%TICKETS84%
29%MONEY71%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
18%MONEY82%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
90%MONEY10%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
HOU Advantage
54-34-0 (61.4%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI Advantage
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
HOU
38-50-0 (43.2%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2% Total +/-: +1.4
HOU
41-46-1
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9% Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOU
PHI
HOU
PHI
ML
61% 69-44
63% 69-40
59% 51-35
48% 45-48
ATS
62% 70-43
65% 71-38
59% 51-35
48% 45-48
TTL
51% 58-55
55% 60-49
100% 86-0
100% 93-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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