SACRAMENTO
KINGSSAC
0-1 | Road
110
LA
CLIPPERSLAC
1-0 | Home
111
AI Model Win Probability
KINGS
49%
CLIPPERS
51%
KINGS
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
232.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.9
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.9 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAC -2.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
SAC By 1-7 points
21.7%
SAC By 8-14 points
10.8%
LAC By 1-7 points
27.2%
LAC By 8-14 points
20.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Sacramento
114.53
SACRAMENTO
LA
117.46
LA
Simulated Score
Sacramento
SACRAMENTO
LA
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Clippers
Win
51% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Clippers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.9
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 232.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 5, 2026
LAC @ SAC
138 - 109
Mar 14, 2026
SAC @ LAC
118 - 109
Feb 6, 2026
LAC @ SAC
114 - 111
Dec 30, 2025
SAC @ LAC
90 - 131
Oct 15, 2025
LAC @ SAC
109 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+16.2% more
LA: 8.3
vs
Sacramento: 7.2
Blocks (L5)
+14.2% more
LA: 5.4
vs
Sacramento: 4.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.6%
LA: 82.8%
vs
Sacramento: 78.2%
Assists (L5)
+15.6% more
Sacramento: 28.0
vs
LA: 23.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SAC Score
114.5
110
LAC Score
117.5
111
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.8 / 42.2
32.3 / 26.5
Assists
23.6 / 28.0
23.0 / 27.0
Blocks
5.4 / 4.7
5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
47.3 / 50.0
53.1 / 46.0
Free Throw %
82.8 / 78.2
60.0 / 84.0
Rebounding
41.0 / 46.4
38.0 / 48.0
Steals
8.3 / 7.2
4.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.6 / 11.2
10.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SAC
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SAC
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +0.8
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
SAC
LAC
SAC
ML
60%
59-40
55%
55-45
55%
45-37
61%
50-32
ATS
66%
65-33-1
54%
52-45-3
55%
45-37
61%
50-32
TTL
59%
58-40-1
58%
57-42-1
100%
82-0
100%
82-0
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