PORTLAND
TRAIL BLAZERSPOR
1-0 | Road
129
CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
0-0 | Home
133
AI Model Win Probability
TRAIL BLAZERS
14%
CAVALIERS
86%
TRAIL BLAZERS
--
CAVALIERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
242.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
45%
Under 0
55%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.4
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.4 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CLE -5.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
POR By 1-7 points
17.9%
POR By 8-14 points
7.5%
CLE By 1-7 points
27.1%
CLE By 8-14 points
23.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Portland
118.42
PORTLAND
Cleveland
123.82
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
Portland
PORTLAND
Cleveland
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cavaliers
Win
86% Win Prob
A
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cavaliers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.4
C
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 242.2
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 1, 2026
CLE @ POR
130 - 111
Dec 3, 2025
POR @ CLE
122 - 110
Mar 25, 2025
CLE @ POR
122 - 111
Mar 2, 2025
POR @ CLE
129 - 133
Nov 30, 2023
POR @ CLE
103 - 95
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+11.4% more
Cleveland: 48.2
vs
Portland: 43.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.3%
Cleveland: 79.1%
vs
Portland: 69.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.5%
Cleveland: 43.8%
vs
Portland: 37.2%
Steals (L5)
+40.0% more
Portland: 10.2
vs
Cleveland: 6.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
POR Score
118.4
129
CLE Score
123.8
133
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
43.8 / 37.2
41.3 / 35.0
Assists
25.9 / 28.9
27.0 / 25.0
Blocks
3.9 / 5.0
5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
50.7 / 49.9
43.3 / 43.8
Free Throw %
79.1 / 69.8
85.7 / 88.6
Rebounding
48.2 / 43.2
47.0 / 46.0
Steals
6.1 / 10.2
12.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
12.0 / 18.1
15.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
POR
44-44-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
CLE
Advantage
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
POR
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -1.0
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
POR
CLE
POR
ML
60%
69-46
53%
56-49
56%
55-44
55%
49-40
ATS
67%
75-37-3
62%
65-39-1
56%
55-44
55%
49-40
TTL
59%
68-47
56%
58-46-1
100%
99-0
100%
89-0
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