TORONTO
RAPTORSTOR
0-1 | Road
115
CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
1-0 | Home
125
AI Model Win Probability
RAPTORS
41%
BULLS
59%
RAPTORS
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
219.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.3
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.3 points (Toronto)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TOR -1.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)
TOR By 1-7 points
26.5%
TOR By 8-14 points
17.5%
CHI By 1-7 points
23.9%
CHI By 8-14 points
13.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Toronto
110.61
TORONTO
Chicago
109.27
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Toronto
TORONTO
Chicago
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Raptors
Loss
41% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Raptors (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.3
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 219.9
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 18, 2026
TOR @ CHI
139 - 109
Feb 19, 2026
TOR @ CHI
110 - 101
Feb 5, 2026
CHI @ TOR
107 - 123
Apr 1, 2025
TOR @ CHI
118 - 137
Feb 28, 2025
TOR @ CHI
115 - 125
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+12.3% more
Toronto: 17.1
vs
Chicago: 15.0
Blocks (L5)
+72.7% more
Chicago: 3.8
vs
Toronto: 2.2
Assists (L5)
+18.6% more
Chicago: 30.3
vs
Toronto: 25.6
Steals (L5)
+11.7% more
Chicago: 9.0
vs
Toronto: 8.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOR Score
110.6
115
CHI Score
109.3
125
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.9 / 29.7
26.5 / 35.1
Assists
30.3 / 25.6
32.0 / 30.0
Blocks
3.8 / 2.2
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
46.2 / 45.6
44.6 / 41.7
Free Throw %
77.9 / 72.5
88.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
43.1 / 42.5
45.0 / 51.0
Steals
9.0 / 8.0
11.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
15.0 / 17.1
15.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOR
Advantage
49-40-0
(55.1%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOR
Advantage
46-43-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4%
Total +/-: -1.8
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
TOR
CHI
TOR
ML
56%
54-42
55%
57-47
57%
46-35
55%
48-39
ATS
65%
62-33-1
61%
62-40-2
57%
46-35
55%
48-39
TTL
58%
56-40
60%
62-42
100%
81-0
100%
87-0
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